CFD Markets News and Forecasts — 18-01-2019

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18.01.2019
20:00
DJIA +1.21% 24,665.11 +295.01 Nasdaq +0.90% 7,148.56 +64.10 S&P +1.16% 2,666.60 +30.64
18:03
U.S.: Baker Hughes Oil Rig Count, January 852
17:00
European stocks closed: FTSE 100 +133.41 6968.33 +1.95% DAX +286.92 11205.54 +2.63% CAC 40 +81.56 4875.93 +1.70%
15:00
Fed's Williams: Data Dependence Matters More Than Ever for Fed Now

  • Now Is Time for Fed to Show 'Prudence, Patience and Good Judgment'

  • If Economy Weakens 'I Will Adjust My Policy Views Accordingly'

  • Fed Could Adjust Balance Sheet if Conditions Warranted It

  • If Outlook Deteriorates, Fed Will Do Whatever It Can to Help Economy

  • Economy Strong, Outlook Is 'Healthy'

  • Remains Upbeat on Economy, but Acknowledges Market Anxiety

  • Growth Likely to Moderate to Between 2% and 2.25% This Year

15:00
U.S.: Reuters/Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index, January 90.7 (forecast 97.0)
14:32
U.S. Stocks open: Dow +0.68%, Nasdaq +0.65%, S&P +0.67%
14:25
Before the bell: S&P futures +0.39%, NASDAQ futures +0.48%

U.S. stock-index futures rose on Friday amid growing optimism over the U.S.-China trade talks.


Global Stocks:

Index/commodity

Last

Today's Change, points

Today's Change, %

Nikkei

20,666.07

+263.80

+1.29%

Hang Seng

27,090.81

+335.18

+1.25%

Shanghai

2,596.01

+36.37

+1.42%

S&P/ASX

5,879.60

+29.50

+0.50%

FTSE

6,955.64

+120.72

+1.77%

CAC

4,874.96

+80.59

+1.68%

DAX

11,149.29

+230.67

+2.11%

Crude

$52.67


+1.15%

Gold

$1,283.00


-0.72%

14:20
U.S industrial production increased 0.3 percent in December after rising 0.4 percent in November.

For the fourth quarter as a whole, total industrial production moved up at an annual rate of 3.8 percent. In December, manufacturing output increased 1.1 percent, its largest gain since February 2018. The output of mines rose 1.5 percent, but the index for utilities fell 6.3 percent, as warmer-than-usual temperatures lowered the demand for heating.

At 109.9 percent of its 2012 average, total industrial production was 4.0 percent higher in December than it was a year earlier. Capacity utilization for the industrial sector rose 0.1 percentage point in December to 78.7 percent, a rate that is 1.1 percentage points below its long-run (1972–2017) average.

14:16
U.S.: Industrial Production YoY , December 4%
14:15
U.S.: Capacity Utilization, December 78.7% (forecast 78.5%)
14:15
U.S.: Industrial Production (MoM), December 0.3% (forecast 0.2%)
13:52
Wall Street. Stocks before the bell

(company / ticker / price / change ($/%) / volume)


ALCOA INC.

AA

29.92

0.33(1.12%)

6218

ALTRIA GROUP INC.

MO

47.45

0.39(0.83%)

7757

Amazon.com Inc., NASDAQ

AMZN

1,706.07

12.85(0.76%)

78007

American Express Co

AXP

97.25

-2.24(-2.25%)

19110

Apple Inc.

AAPL

156.94

1.08(0.69%)

201481

AT&T Inc

T

30.7

0.06(0.20%)

14285

Boeing Co

BA

362.25

3.16(0.88%)

11205

Caterpillar Inc

CAT

134.01

0.33(0.25%)

10238

Chevron Corp

CVX

113

1.04(0.93%)

10936

Cisco Systems Inc

CSCO

44.41

0.20(0.45%)

4584

Citigroup Inc., NYSE

C

62.66

0.19(0.30%)

11277

Deere & Company, NYSE

DE

161.1

1.03(0.64%)

1876

Exxon Mobil Corp

XOM

72.72

0.59(0.82%)

2329

Facebook, Inc.

FB

149.1

0.80(0.54%)

24598

FedEx Corporation, NYSE

FDX

174.61

1.34(0.77%)

2464

Ford Motor Co.

F

8.39

0.03(0.36%)

52493

Freeport-McMoRan Copper & Gold Inc., NYSE

FCX

12.27

0.14(1.15%)

68600

General Electric Co

GE

9.17

0.03(0.33%)

257051

General Motors Company, NYSE

GM

38.45

0.19(0.50%)

946

Goldman Sachs

GS

199.64

0.55(0.28%)

7120

Google Inc.

GOOG

1,100.00

10.10(0.93%)

3831

Hewlett-Packard Co.

HPQ

21.5

0.27(1.27%)

5002

Home Depot Inc

HD

175.7

0.83(0.47%)

4583

Intel Corp

INTC

48.9

0.43(0.89%)

33260

International Business Machines Co...

IBM

122.6

0.41(0.34%)

2854

Johnson & Johnson

JNJ

129

-0.09(-0.07%)

2571

JPMorgan Chase and Co

JPM

103.34

0.42(0.41%)

8607

McDonald's Corp

MCD

181.91

0.80(0.44%)

603

Microsoft Corp

MSFT

106.84

0.72(0.68%)

82225

Nike

NKE

79.6

0.47(0.59%)

2525

Pfizer Inc

PFE

42.6

0.13(0.31%)

3834

Procter & Gamble Co

PG

90.95

0.31(0.34%)

2860

Starbucks Corporation, NASDAQ

SBUX

64.6

0.32(0.50%)

1767

Tesla Motors, Inc., NASDAQ

TSLA

326.63

-20.68(-5.95%)

799221

The Coca-Cola Co

KO

47.15

0.09(0.19%)

5569

Twitter, Inc., NYSE

TWTR

33.05

0.20(0.61%)

25899

United Technologies Corp

UTX

113.94

1.17(1.04%)

1053

Verizon Communications Inc

VZ

56.9

0.07(0.12%)

3586

Visa

V

138.17

0.89(0.65%)

2209

Wal-Mart Stores Inc

WMT

97.4

0.66(0.68%)

635

Walt Disney Co

DIS

111.5

0.49(0.44%)

1455

Yandex N.V., NASDAQ

YNDX

30.89

-0.14(-0.45%)

14434

13:50
Upgrades before the market open

Chevron (CVX) upgraded to Buy from Neutral at UBS

13:41
Foreign investors acquired $9.5 billion of Canadian securities in November, mainly bonds

Meanwhile, Canadian investors reduced their holdings of foreign securities by $4.1 billion as they sold US shares. The divestment in foreign securities was the largest in a year and followed two strong months of acquisitions.

As a result, international transactions in securities generated a net inflow of funds of $13.5 billion in the Canadian economy in November, the largest inflow since November 2017.

Foreign acquisitions of Canadian debt securities increased to $7.4 billion in November. The bulk of the investment was in government debt securities, mainly federal government instruments.

Non-resident investors added $7.8 billion of Canadian bonds to their portfolio in November. Foreign investment in federal government bonds reached $3.0 billion. This was the second straight month of foreign investment in these instruments, following a general divestment trend totalling $35.1 billion from January to September.


13:34
Canadian Consumer Price Index (CPI) increased 1.9% on a year-over-year basis in December, following a 2.1% gain in November

The all-items excluding gasoline index rose 1.5% year over year in December, matching the increase in November.

Prices were up in seven of the eight major CPI components in the 12 months to December, with the transportation and shelter indexes contributing the most to the increase. The household operations, furnishings and equipment index declined 0.3% on a year-over-year basis.

Consumer prices for transportation rose 4.9% on a year-over-year basis in December, following a 5.9% increase in November. The movement in transportation prices was led by gasoline, which rose 12.2% year over year in December, after increasing 19.6% the previous month. The purchase of passenger vehicles index increased 3.7% in the 12-month period ending in December.

The shelter index grew 1.4% on a year-over-year basis in December, after increasing 1.2% in November. The natural gas index contributed to the gain in this major component, up 6.2% in December following a 3.1% increase in November.


13:30
Canada: Consumer price index, y/y, December 2% (forecast 1.7%)
13:30
Canada: Bank of Canada Consumer Price Index Core, y/y, December 1.7%
13:30
Canada: Consumer Price Index m / m, December -0.1% (forecast -0.3%)
13:30
Canada: Foreign Securities Purchases, November 9.45
13:03
Company News: Netflix (NFLX) quarterly earnings beat analysts’ expectations

Netflix (NFLX) reported Q4 FY 2018 earnings of $0.30 per share (versus $0.41 in Q4 FY 2017), beating analysts’ consensus estimate of $0.24.

The company’s quarterly revenues amounted to $4.187 bln (+27.4% y/y), generally in line with analysts’ consensus estimate of $4.207 bln.

The company also issued downside guidance for Q1 FY 2019, projecting EPS of $0.56 (versus analysts’ consensus estimate of $0.86) and revenues of $4.494 bln (versus analysts’ consensus estimate of $4.61 bln).

NFLX fell to $341.99 (-3.17%) in pre-market trading.

12:50
Company News: American Express (AXP) quarterly earnings beat analysts’ estimate

American Express (AXP) reported Q4 FY 2018 earnings of $1.84 per share (versus $1.58 in Q4 FY 2017), beating analysts’ consensus estimate of $1.80.

The company’s quarterly revenues amounted to $10.474 bln (+7.9% y/y), generally in line with analysts’ consensus estimate of $10.535 bln.

AXP fell to $97.50 (-2.00%) in pre-market trading.

11:08
IEA: OPEC Crude Production Fell by 590,000 B/D in Dec
  • Saudi Arabian Crude Output Fell by 420,000 B/D in Dec.

  • Russian Crude, Condensate Output Climbed by 80,000 B/D in Dec

  • IEA Keeps Demand Growth Forecast for 2019 Unchanged, at 1.3 Million B/D

  • Says OECD Commercial Oil Inventories Fell by 2.5 Million Barrels in Nov.


09:32
UK retail sales down 0.9% in December

In the three months to December 2018, estimates in the quantity bought decreased by 0.2% with declines across all main sectors except fuel.

When compared with the previous month, the quantity bought in December 2018 decreased by 0.9%, as all sectors except food stores and fuel stores declined on the month.

Looking at annual growth rates, the whole of 2018 increased by 2.7% in the quantity bought; an annual slowdown in comparison with the peak of 4.7% experienced in 2016.

In December 2018, online retailing accounted for 20% of total retailing, with an overall growth of 13.9% when compared with the same month a year earlier.


09:30
United Kingdom: Retail Sales (YoY) , December 3% (forecast 3.6%)
09:30
United Kingdom: Retail Sales (MoM), December -0.9% (forecast -0.8%)
09:01
Eurozone: Current account, unadjusted, bln , November 23.2
07:39
Swiss producer and import price index declined more than expected in December

The Producer and Import Price Index fell in December 2018 by 0.6% compared with the previous month, reaching 102.5 points (December 2015 = 100). Compared with December 2017, the price level of the whole range of domestic and imported products rose by 0.6%. The average annualised inflation rate in 2018 was 2.4%. These are some of the findings from the Federal Statistical Office (FSO).

07:30
Switzerland: Producer & Import Prices, y/y, December 0.6%
07:10
Japan national CPI declied 0.2% in December

Overall consumer prices in Japan were up 0.3 percent on year in December, according to rttnews.

That was in line with expectations and down from 0.8 percent in November.

Core consumer prices - which exclude volatiles prices of food - were up an annual 0.7 percent. That was shy of expectations for 0.8 percent and down from 0.9 percent in the previous month.

On a monthly basis, overall inflation was down 0.2 percent and core CPI eased 0.1 percent.


06:40
Options levels on friday, January 18, 2019 EURUSD GBPUSD

EUR/USD

Resistance levels (open interest**, contracts)

$1.1521 (2198)

$1.1499 (478)

$1.1469 (547)

Price at time of writing this review: $1.1392

Support levels (open interest**, contracts):

$1.1346 (4011)

$1.1313 (5018)

$1.1276 (2614)


Comments:

- Overall open interest on the CALL options and PUT options with the expiration date February, 8 is 71430 contracts (according to data from January, 17) with the maximum number of contracts with strike price $1,1600 (5517);


GBP/USD

Resistance levels (open interest**, contracts)

$1.3091 (1245)

$1.3069 (550)

$1.3043 (144)

Price at time of writing this review: $1.2979

Support levels (open interest**, contracts):

$1.2863 (554)

$1.2804 (378)

$1.2770 (434)


Comments:

- Overall open interest on the CALL options with the expiration date February, 8 is 23236 contracts, with the maximum number of contracts with strike price $1,3000 (1972);

- Overall open interest on the PUT options with the expiration date February, 8 is 25810 contracts, with the maximum number of contracts with strike price $1,2550 (1919);

- The ratio of PUT/CALL was 1.11 versus 1.12 from the previous trading day according to data from January, 17

* - The Chicago Mercantile Exchange bulletin (CME) is used for the calculation.

** - Open interest takes into account the total number of option contracts that are open at the moment.

05:31
Japan: Industrial Production (YoY), November 1.5% (forecast 1.4%)
04:31
Japan: Industrial Production (MoM) , November -1.0% (forecast -1.1%)
02:30
Commodities. Daily history for Thursday, January 17, 2019
Raw materials Closed Change, %
Brent 61.11 -0.08
WTI 52.41 -0.15
Silver 15.5 -0.45
Gold 1291.78 -0.13
Palladium 1395.88 2.32
00:30
Stocks. Daily history for Thursday, January 17, 2019
Index Change, points Closed Change, %
NIKKEI 225 -40.48 20402.27 -0.2
Hang Seng -146.47 26755.63 -0.54
KOSPI 0.96 2107.06 0.05
ASX 200 14.9 5850.1 0.26
FTSE 100 -27.76 6834.92 -0.4
DAX -12.62 10918.62 -0.12
Dow Jones 162.94 24370.1 0.67
S&P 500 19.86 2635.96 0.76
NASDAQ Composite 49.77 7084.46 0.71
00:15
Currencies. Daily history for Thursday, January 17, 2019
Pare Closed Change, %
AUDUSD 0.71918 0.34
EURJPY 124.399 0.11
EURUSD 1.13876 -0.03
GBPJPY 141.841 0.97
GBPUSD 1.29842 0.82
NZDUSD 0.67617 -0.2
USDCAD 1.32786 0.17
USDCHF 0.99408 0.38
USDJPY 109.236 0.15

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