CFD Markets News and Forecasts — 14-03-2018

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14.03.2018
23:26
Currencies. Daily history for March 14’2018:

(raw materials / closing price /% change)

Oil 60.95 +0.40%

Gold 1,324.30 -0.21%

23:26
Currencies. Daily history for March 14’2018:

(index / closing price / change items /% change)

Nikkei -190.81 21777,29 -0,87%

TOPIX -7.82 1743,21 -0,45%

Hang Seng -166.44 31435,01 -0,53%

CSI 300 -17,91 4073,34 -0,44%

Euro Stoxx 50 -6.37 3390.98 -0.19%

FTSE 100 -6.09 7132.69 -0.09%

DAX +16.71 12237.74 +0.14%

CAC 40 -9.43 5233.36 -0.18%

DJIA -248.91 24758.12 -1.00%

S&P 500 -15.83 2749.48 -0.57%

NASDAQ -14.20 7496.81 -0.19%

S&P/TSX +6.47 15653.61 +0.04%

23:24
Currencies. Daily history for March 14’2018:

(pare/closed(GMT +2)/change, %)

EUR/USD $1,2367 -0,19%

GBP/USD $1,3964 +0,01%

USD/CHF Chf0,9446 +0,13%

USD/JPY Y106,31 -0,14%

EUR/JPY Y131,48 -0,34%

GBP/JPY Y148,45 -0,12%

AUD/USD $0,7874 +0,25%

NZD/USD $0,7306 -0,25%

USD/CAD C$1,29541 +0,03%

21:45
New Zealand: GDP q/q, Quarter IV 0.6% (forecast 0.7%)
21:45
New Zealand: GDP y/y, Quarter IV 2.9% (forecast 3.1%)
20:13
Major US stock indexes finished trading in negative territory

Major US stock indexes ended the session in negative territory, with the Dow Jones industrial index falling most, as US producers continue to worry about the impact of new tariffs on trade.

In addition, as the report of the Ministry of Trade showed, retail sales decreased by 0.1% m / m in February, while economists expected to see growth of 0.3% m / m. At the same time, the indicator for the previous month was revised to -0.1% m / m from -0.3% m / m. Excluding sales of cars, retail sales grew by 0.2%, against analysts' forecasts + 0.4% m / m. The indicator for the previous month was revised to + 0.1% from 0.0%.

At the same time, the report of the Ministry of Labor showed that in February producer prices increased by 0.2% m / m (against the forecast + 0.1% m / m), whereas without changes in the cost of food and energy, producer prices rose by 0.2% m / m (against the forecast + 0.2%). Year-on-year, the producer price index (CPI) rose 2.8%, and the basic CPI jumped 2.5%, as economists had expected.

Most components of the DOW index finished trading in the red (25 of 30). The leader of growth was the shares of The Walt Disney Company (DIS, + 0.19%). Outsider were shares of The Boeing Company (BA, -2.53%).

Most S & P sectors recorded a decline. The largest drop was shown by the sector of industrial goods (-0.9%). The utilities sector grew most (+ 0.6%).

At closing:

Dow -1.00% 24,758.12 -248.91

Nasdaq -0.19% 7.496.81 -14.20

S & P -0.57% 2,749.48 -15.83

19:00
DJIA -0.81% 24,805.15 -201.88 Nasdaq -0.10% 7,503.73 -7.28 S&P -0.42% 2,753.66 -11.65
17:00
European stocks closed: FTSE 100 -6.09 7132.69 -0.09% DAX +16.71 12237.74 +0.14% CAC 40 -9.43 5233.36 -0.18%
15:02
Germany's Merkel says take British govt findings on Russian ex-spy very seriously, there will be common european stance
14:37
U.S. commercial crude oil inventories increased by 5.0 million barrels from the previous week

U.S. commercial crude oil inventories (excluding those in the Strategic Petroleum Reserve) increased by 5.0 million barrels from the previous week. At 430.9 million barrels, U.S. crude oil inventories are in the lower half of the average range for this time of year.

Total motor gasoline inventories decreased by 6.3 million barrels last week, and are in the upper half of the average range. Finished gasoline and blending components inventories both decreased last week.

Distillate fuel inventories decreased by 4.4 million barrels last week and are in the lower half of the average range for this time of year. Propane/propylene inventories decreased by 2.3 million barrels last week, and are in the lower half of the average range. Total commercial petroleum inventories decreased last week.

14:30
U.S.: Crude Oil Inventories, March 5.022 (forecast 2.023)
14:12
U.S business inventories rose 0.6% in January

Manufacturers' and trade inventories, adjusted for seasonal variations but not for price changes, were estimated at an end-of-month level of $1,917.0 billion, up 0.6 percent from December 2017 and were up 3.7 percent from January 2017.

The total business inventories/sales ratio based on seasonally adjusted data at the end of January was 1.34. The January 2017 ratio was 1.37.

14:00
U.S.: Business inventories , January 0.6% (forecast 0.6%)
13:34
U.S. Stocks open: Dow +0.36% Nasdaq +0.32%, S&P +0.26%
13:30
Before the bell: S&P futures +0.23%, NASDAQ futures +0.33%

U.S. stock-index futures rose on Wednesday, signaling a rebound after a decline in the previous day on fears of political and trade uncertainties.


Global Stocks:

Nikkei 21,777.29 -190.81 -0.87%

Hang Seng 31,435.01 -166.44 -0.53%

Shanghai 3,291.26 -18.98 -0.57%

S&P/ASX 5,935.30 -39.40 -0.66%

FTSE 7,161.32 +22.54 +0.32%

CAC 5,258.88 +16.09 +0.31%

DAX 12,284.22 +63.19 +0.52%

Crude $61.25 (+0.89%)

Gold $1,327.00 (-0.01%)

12:44
Wall Street. Stocks before the bell

(company / ticker / price / change ($/%) / volume)


3M Co

MMM

238.45

0.88(0.37%)

619

ALCOA INC.

AA

49

0.41(0.84%)

2292

ALTRIA GROUP INC.

MO

65.7

0.27(0.41%)

2250

Amazon.com Inc., NASDAQ

AMZN

1,597.08

8.90(0.56%)

45117

AMERICAN INTERNATIONAL GROUP

AIG

55.95

0.33(0.59%)

100

Apple Inc.

AAPL

180.66

0.69(0.38%)

153411

AT&T Inc

T

37.46

0.07(0.19%)

8303

Barrick Gold Corporation, NYSE

ABX

12.27

0.09(0.74%)

8886

Boeing Co

BA

339.49

0.82(0.24%)

25378

Caterpillar Inc

CAT

154.8

1.11(0.72%)

1091

Chevron Corp

CVX

117.1

0.64(0.55%)

102

Cisco Systems Inc

CSCO

45.36

0.20(0.44%)

9433

Citigroup Inc., NYSE

C

75.25

0.34(0.45%)

9735

Exxon Mobil Corp

XOM

74.7

0.17(0.23%)

5255

Facebook, Inc.

FB

182.58

0.70(0.38%)

39982

Ford Motor Co.

F

11.23

0.45(4.17%)

1912340

Freeport-McMoRan Copper & Gold Inc., NYSE

FCX

18.79

0.31(1.68%)

13221

General Electric Co

GE

14.39

-0.04(-0.28%)

175289

General Motors Company, NYSE

GM

38.37

0.36(0.95%)

17884

Goldman Sachs

GS

269.9

1.37(0.51%)

5923

Google Inc.

GOOG

1,144.00

5.83(0.51%)

3571

Home Depot Inc

HD

179

0.65(0.36%)

976

International Business Machines Co...

IBM

159.97

0.65(0.41%)

1423

JPMorgan Chase and Co

JPM

116.82

0.57(0.49%)

2656

McDonald's Corp

MCD

158.7

0.48(0.30%)

640

Merck & Co Inc

MRK

55.2

0.31(0.56%)

9315

Microsoft Corp

MSFT

95.05

0.64(0.68%)

44256

Nike

NKE

66.48

0.31(0.47%)

2060

Pfizer Inc

PFE

36.88

0.13(0.35%)

888

Procter & Gamble Co

PG

80.04

0.32(0.40%)

933

Tesla Motors, Inc., NASDAQ

TSLA

336.7

-5.14(-1.50%)

23065

The Coca-Cola Co

KO

44.25

0.07(0.16%)

1137

Twitter, Inc., NYSE

TWTR

34.37

0.26(0.76%)

28260

United Technologies Corp

UTX

130.5

0.35(0.27%)

1105

UnitedHealth Group Inc

UNH

227.91

0.97(0.43%)

188

Verizon Communications Inc

VZ

48.84

0.19(0.39%)

2829

Visa

V

123.96

0.76(0.62%)

486

Wal-Mart Stores Inc

WMT

88.7

0.40(0.45%)

3608

Walt Disney Co

DIS

103.95

0.22(0.21%)

4399

Yandex N.V., NASDAQ

YNDX

42.4

0.11(0.26%)

500

12:40
U.S retail sales less than expected m/m

Advance estimates of U.S. retail and food services sales for February 2018, adjusted for seasonal variation and holiday and trading-day differences, but not for price changes, were $492.0 billion, a decrease of 0.1 percent from the previous month, but 4.0 percent above February 2017. Total sales for the December 2017 through February 2018 period were up 4.3 percent from the same period a year ago. The December 2017 to January 2018 percent change was revised from down 0.3 percent to down 0.1 percent.

Retail trade sales were down 0.1 percent from January 2018, but 4.2 percent above last year. Nonstore Retailers were up 10.1 percent from February 2017, while Gasoline Stations were up 7.9 percent from last year.

12:40
Upgrades before the market open

Ford Motor (F) upgraded to Overweight at Morgan Stanley

12:37
U.S Producer Price Index up 0.2% in February

The Producer Price Index for final demand advanced 0.2 percent in February, seasonally adjusted, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. Final demand prices rose 0.4 percent in January and were unchanged in December. On an unadjusted basis, the final demand index increased 2.8 percent for the 12 months ended in February.
In February, the rise in final demand prices is attributable to a 0.3-percent advance in the index for final demand services. In contrast, prices for final demand goods edged down 0.1 percent.
The index for final demand less foods, energy, and trade services climbed 0.4 percent in February, the same as in January. For the 12 months ended in February, prices for final demand less foods, energy, and trade services increased 2.7 percent, the largest rise since 12-month percent change data were available in August 2014.

12:30
U.S.: Retail Sales YoY, February 4%
12:30
U.S.: Retail sales, February -0.1% (forecast 0.3%)
12:30
U.S.: Retail sales excluding auto, February 0.2% (forecast 0.4%)
12:30
U.S.: PPI excluding food and energy, m/m, February 0.2% (forecast 0.2%)
12:30
U.S.: PPI, m/m, February 0.2% (forecast 0.1%)
12:30
U.S.: PPI, y/y, February 2.8% (forecast 2.8%)
12:30
U.S.: PPI excluding food and energy, Y/Y, February 2.5% (forecast 2.5%)
12:23
Make trade, not war, Mr President. Instead of trade war, we should go back to EU-US trade talks now. @eucopresident
10:13
Industrial production fell by 1.0% in the euro area (EA19) and by 0.7% in the EU28

In January 2018 compared with December 2017, seasonally adjusted industrial production fell by 1.0% in the euro area (EA19) and by 0.7% in the EU28, according to estimates from Eurostat, the statistical office of the European Union. In December 2017, industrial production rose by 0.4% in the euro area and by 0.3% in the EU28. In January 2018 compared with January 2017, industrial production increased by 2.7% in the euro area and by 3.0% in the EU28.

10:12
The number of persons employed increased by 0.3% in the euro area (EA19) and by 0.2% in the EU28 in Q4

The number of persons employed increased by 0.3% in the euro area (EA19) and by 0.2% in the EU28 in the fourth quarter of 2017 compared with the previous quarter, according to national accounts estimates published by Eurostat, the statistical office of the European Union. In the third quarter of 2017, employment increased by 0.4% in the euro area and by 0.2% in the EU28. These figures are seasonally adjusted. Compared with the same quarter of the previous year, employment increased by 1.6% in the euro area and by 1.5% in the EU28 in the fourth quarter of 2017 (after +1.7% and +1.6% respectively in the third quarter of 2017).

Eurostat estimates that, in the fourth quarter of 2017, 236.8 million men and women were employed in the EU28, of which 156.7 million were in the euro area. These are the highest levels ever recorded in both areas. These figures are seasonally adjusted. Over the whole year 2017, employment rose by 1.6% in both areas, compared with +1.3% in the euro area and +1.2% in the EU28 in 2016.

10:00
Eurozone: Industrial production, (MoM), January -1% (forecast -0.4%)
10:00
Eurozone: Industrial Production (YoY), January 2.7% (forecast 4.7%)
10:00
Eurozone: Employment Change, Quarter IV 0.3% (forecast 0.3%)
09:59
ECB's Praet says the ECB’s key interest rates and forward guidance on their expected evolution will once again become our principal means of steering the policy
09:58
ECB's Angeloni says end of current monetary policy is "natural evolution" everyone must prepare for because there are risks
08:32
Euro hits day's lows, down 0.1 pct as Draghi says needs further evidence of inflation rising
08:21
ECB's Draghi says there are still two risks to the outlook that could – if they intensify – conspire to reduce our confidence in the inflation path
08:08
ECB's Draghi says sustained adjustment in the path of inflation towards our aim is condition for net asset purchases to end

  • Adjustments to our policy will remain predictable, and they will proceed at a measured pace

  • We still need to see further evidence that inflation dynamics are moving in the right

08:06
ECB's Draghi says we currently see inflation converging towards our aim over the medium term, and we are more confident than in the past this convergence will come to pass
07:54
Options levels on wednesday, March 14, 2017

EUR/USD

Resistance levels (open interest**, contracts)

$1.2536 (2724)

$1.2511 (1978)

$1.2491 (847)

Price at time of writing this review: $1.2387

Support levels (open interest**, contracts):

$1.2317 (3570)

$1.2278 (3699)

$1.2235 (3591)


Comments:

- Overall open interest on the CALL options and PUT options with the expiration date April, 6 is 93456 contracts (according to data from March, 13) with the maximum number of contracts with strike price $1,2150 (4657);


GBP/USD

Resistance levels (open interest**, contracts)

$1.4154 (2704)

$1.4110 (3094)

$1.4041 (141)

Price at time of writing this review: $1.3957

Support levels (open interest**, contracts):

$1.3876 (980)

$1.3842 (3268)

$1.3806 (1181)


Comments:

- Overall open interest on the CALL options with the expiration date April, 6 is 32099 contracts, with the maximum number of contracts with strike price $1,3950 (3094);

- Overall open interest on the PUT options with the expiration date April, 6 is 28526 contracts, with the maximum number of contracts with strike price $1,3800 (3491);

- The ratio of PUT/CALL was 0.89 versus 0.90 from the previous trading day according to data from March,13

* - The Chicago Mercantile Exchange bulletin (CME) is used for the calculation.

** - Open interest takes into account the total number of option contracts that are open at the moment.

07:50
ECB's Mersch says we first take the non-conventional measures towards the exit, only then will we consider the conventional ones
07:14
Chinese industrial production up 7.2% in February

China's industrial production increased at a faster-than-expected pace in the first two months of the year, official data from the National Bureau of Statistics showed Wednesday, cited by rttnews.

Industrial output climbed 7.2 percent in the January to February period from a year ago, faster than the 6.2 percent rise in December. That was also above the 6.6 percent increase economists had forecast.

During the first two months of 2018, retail sales surged 9.7 percent as compared to the same period of last year. In December, the rate of growth was 9.4 percent.

That was slightly slower than the expected growth of 10.0 percent.

The statistical office also revealed that fixed asset investment grew 7.9 percent annually in the January to February period. It was forecast to increase by 7.0 percent.

07:11
BoJ January meeting minutes: most members said momentum toward hitting price target was being maintained

  • Most members shared view BoJ should persistently pursue powerful monetary easing

  • Some members said must monitor positive impact, side effects of policy including effect on financial system

  • One member said must pay attention to financial institutions' lending attitudes amid low interest rate environment

  • One member said it was undesirable to let market speculation heighten that boj may adjust monetary easing slightly at an early stage

07:09
Eurostoxx 50 futures down 0.1 pct, DAX futures down 0.2 pct, CAC 40 futures down 0.4 pct, FTSE futures 0.2 pct, IBEX futures down 0.2 pct
07:07
Consumer prices in Germany were 1.4% higher y/y

Consumer prices in Germany were 1.4% higher in February 2018 than in February 2017. The inflation rate - measured by the consumer price index - thus decreased for the third consecutive month. In January 2018, it had been +1.6%. Compared with January 2018, the consumer price index rose by 0.5% in February 2018. The Federal Statistical Office (Destatis) thus confirms its provisional overall results of 27 February 2018.

In February 2018, energy prices as a whole were only slightly above the previous year's level (+0.1%) and had a downward effect on the overall inflation rate. In January 2018, the rate of energy price increase had been +0.9%. In the period from February 2017 to February 2018, price increases were recorded for electricity (+1.5%) and charges for central and district heating (+1.3%). In contrast, the prices of gas (−1.4%), solid fuels (−0.6%) and mineral oil products (−0.5%; of which motor fuels: −0.6%; heating oil: −0.2%) went down over the same period. Excluding energy prices, the inflation rate in February 2018 would have been +1.5%.

07:01
Germany: CPI, m/m, February 0.5% (forecast 0.5%)
07:01
Germany: CPI, y/y , February 1.4% (forecast 1.4%)
06:55
10-year U.S. treasury yield at 2.833 percent vs U.S. close of 2.848 percent on tuesday
06:54
New Zealand's trade balance deficit rose more than expected q/q
  • New Zealand's seasonally adjusted current account deficit was $1,951 million in the December 2017 quarter, up $407 million from the September 2017 quarter.

  • The annual current account deficit increased to $7,722 million for the year ended December 2017 (2.7 percent of GDP), up from the revised $5,985 million deficit for the year ended December 2016 (2.2 percent of GDP).

In the December 2017 quarter

  • The seasonally adjusted goods deficit widened to $465 million, up $385 million.

  • The seasonally adjusted services surplus decreased to $1,164 million, down $16 million.

  • The primary income deficit widened to $2,733 million, up $217 million.

  • Secondary income was a $83 million surplus, up $211 million from a $128 million deficit in the September 2017 quarter.

  • The financial account had a net inflow of $1,498 million.

02:00
China: Retail Sales y/y, 9.7% (forecast 9.8%)
02:00
China: Industrial Production y/y, 7.2% (forecast 6.1%)
02:00
China: Fixed Asset Investment, 7.9% (forecast 7%)

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