CFD Markets News and Forecasts — 12-12-2018

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12.12.2018
23:30
Schedule for today, Thursday, December 13, 2018
Time Country Event Period Previous value Forecast
00:30 Australia RBA Bulletin    
01:00 Australia Consumer Inflation Expectation December 3.6%  
07:00 Germany CPI, m/m November 0.2% 0.1%
07:00 Germany CPI, y/y November 2.5% 2.3%
07:45 France CPI, y/y November 2.2% 1.9%
07:45 France CPI, m/m November 0.1% -0.2%
08:15 Switzerland Producer & Import Prices, y/y November 2.3%  
08:30 Switzerland SNB Interest Rate Decision -0.75% -0.75%
08:30 Switzerland SNB Monetary Policy Assessment    
09:00 Switzerland SNB Press Conference    
12:45 Eurozone ECB Interest Rate Decision 0% 0%
13:30 U.S. Continuing Jobless Claims December 1631 1650
13:30 Canada New Housing Price Index, YoY October 0.2%  
13:30 Canada New Housing Price Index, MoM October 0% 0%
13:30 U.S. Initial Jobless Claims December 231 225
13:30 U.S. Import Price Index November 0.5% -0.9%
13:30 Eurozone ECB Press Conference    
19:00 U.S. Federal budget November -100 -188
21:30 New Zealand Business NZ PMI November 53.5  
23:50 Japan BoJ Tankan. Non-Manufacturing Index Quarter IV 22 21
23:50 Japan BoJ Tankan. Manufacturing Index Quarter IV 19 17
22:16
New Zealand: Food Prices Index, y/y, November 0.4%
21:26
Major US stock indexes rose on today's trading

Major US stock indexes finished trading in positive territory, helped by the growth of the conglomerate sector and the technology sector, as well as signs that Beijing will weaken its industrial policy "Made in China in 2025".

In addition, investors analyzed inflation data for the United States. The US Department of Labor reported that consumer prices did not change in November, constrained by a sharp decline in gasoline prices, but the underlying inflationary pressure remained steady amid rising rent and health care costs. The report noted that last month the fixed value of the consumer price index followed an increase of 0.3 percent in October. This was the lowest value in eight months. In the 12 months to November, the consumer price index rose 2.2% from an increase of 2.5% in October. Excluding food and energy prices, CPI rose 0.2%, corresponding to an increase in October. In the 12 months to November, the so-called basic consumer price index rose 2.2% after rising 2.1% in October. Economists predicted that the overall CPI will remain unchanged, while the base index will rise by 0.2% in November.

Most of the components of DOW finished trading in positive territory (24 out of 30). The growth leader was DowDuPont Inc. (DWDP, + 2.03%). The outsider was Verizon Communications Inc. (VZ, -2.73%).

Almost all sectors of the S & P showed an increase. The growth leader was the conglomerate sector (+ 1.2%). Only the utility sector decreased (-0.1%).

At the time of closing:

Dow 24,527.27 +157.03 +0.64%

S & P 500 2,651.07 +14.29 + 0.54%

Nasdaq 100 7,098.31 +66.48 + 0.95%

20:50
Schedule for tomorrow, Thursday, December 13, 2018
Time Country Event Period Previous value Forecast
00:30 Australia RBA Bulletin    
01:00 Australia Consumer Inflation Expectation December 3.6%  
07:00 Germany CPI, m/m November 0.2% 0.1%
07:00 Germany CPI, y/y November 2.5% 2.3%
07:45 France CPI, y/y November 2.2% 1.9%
07:45 France CPI, m/m November 0.1% -0.2%
08:15 Switzerland Producer & Import Prices, y/y November 2.3%  
08:30 Switzerland SNB Interest Rate Decision -0.75% -0.75%
08:30 Switzerland SNB Monetary Policy Assessment    
09:00 Switzerland SNB Press Conference    
12:45 Eurozone ECB Interest Rate Decision 0% 0%
13:30 U.S. Continuing Jobless Claims December 1631 1650
13:30 Canada New Housing Price Index, YoY October 0.2%  
13:30 Canada New Housing Price Index, MoM October 0% 0%
13:30 U.S. Initial Jobless Claims December 231 225
13:30 U.S. Import Price Index November 0.5% -0.9%
13:30 Eurozone ECB Press Conference    
19:00 U.S. Federal budget November -100 -188
21:30 New Zealand Business NZ PMI November 53.5  
23:50 Japan BoJ Tankan. Non-Manufacturing Index Quarter IV 22 21
23:50 Japan BoJ Tankan. Manufacturing Index Quarter IV 19 17
20:01
DJIA +1.15% 24,649.41 +279.17 Nasdaq +1.46% 7,134.68 +102.85 S&P +1.06% 2,664.70 +27.92
17:00
European stocks closed: FTSE 100 +73.25 6880.19 +1.08% DAX +148.92 10929.43 +1.38% CAC 40 +103.25 4909.45 +2.15%
15:33
U.S. commercial crude oil inventories decreased by 1.2 million barrels from the previous week

U.S. commercial crude oil inventories (excluding those in the Strategic Petroleum Reserve) decreased by 1.2 million barrels from the previous week. At 442.0 million barrels, U.S. crude oil inventories are about 7% above the five year average for this time of year.

Total motor gasoline inventories increased by 2.1 million barrels last week and are about 3% above the five year average for this time of year. Finished gasoline and blending components inventories both increased last week.

Distillate fuel inventories decreased by 1.5 million barrels last week and are about 8% below the five year average for this time of year. Propane/propylene inventories decreased by 3.2 million barrels last week and are about 5% below the five year average for this time of year. Total commercial petroleum inventories decreased last week by 6.0 million barrels last week.

15:30
U.S.: Crude Oil Inventories, December -1.208 (forecast -2.99)
15:02
The pound extends gains, rising 1% against the dollar to $1.2612 as market participants expect U.K. Prime Minister Theresa May to win the no-confidence vote on Wednesday - ING

But this means it will be hard for sterling to collect further gains if she does win, ING says, adding that "GBP/USD would struggle to sustain a rally above 1.2650/2700." The rise in sterling will not only be modest, but also temporary. PM May "has to put her withdrawal agreement to parliament and face likely rejection." The pound fell this week to its lowest in 20 months against the dollar after the vote in parliament on the Brexit deal was postponed. - via WSJ

14:34
U.S. Stocks open: Dow +1.33%, Nasdaq +1.36%, S&P +1.26%
14:27
Before the bell: S&P futures +1.08%, NASDAQ futures +1.29%

Before the bell: S&P futures +1.08%, NASDAQ futures +1.29%

U.S. stock-index futures surged on Wednesday on signs of possible easing of tensions between the U.S. and China.

Global Stocks:

Index/commodity

Last

Today's Change, points

Today's Change, %

Nikkei

21,602.75

+454.73

+2.15%

Hang Seng

26,186.71

+415.04

+1.61%

Shanghai

2,602.15

+8.06

+0.31%

S&P/ASX

5,653.50

+77.60

+1.39%

FTSE

6,888.45

+81.51

+1.20%

CAC

4,896.55

+90.35

+1.88%

DAX

10,901.41

+120.90

+1.12%

Crude

$52.48


+1.61%

Gold

$1,250.20


+0.24%

13:51
Wall Street. Stocks before the bell

(company / ticker / price / change ($/%) / volume)


ALTRIA GROUP INC.

MO

54.2

0.25(0.46%)

1026

Amazon.com Inc., NASDAQ

AMZN

1,663.00

19.76(1.20%)

75948

AMERICAN INTERNATIONAL GROUP

AIG

36.8

0.21(0.57%)

1600

Apple Inc.

AAPL

170.2

1.57(0.93%)

242016

AT&T Inc

T

30.07

0.37(1.25%)

159240

Barrick Gold Corporation, NYSE

ABX

13.73

0.13(0.96%)

42487

Boeing Co

BA

327

4.97(1.54%)

15814

Caterpillar Inc

CAT

125

1.76(1.43%)

5714

Chevron Corp

CVX

116.99

1.52(1.32%)

764

Cisco Systems Inc

CSCO

47.6

0.51(1.08%)

29215

Citigroup Inc., NYSE

C

56.92

0.70(1.25%)

31655

Exxon Mobil Corp

XOM

78.2

1.52(1.98%)

62044

Facebook, Inc.

FB

142.84

0.76(0.53%)

151352

Ford Motor Co.

F

8.63

0.09(1.05%)

76307

Freeport-McMoRan Copper & Gold Inc., NYSE

FCX

10.93

0.17(1.58%)

34500

General Electric Co

GE

6.9

0.14(2.07%)

691364

General Motors Company, NYSE

GM

35.19

0.50(1.44%)

882

Goldman Sachs

GS

178.31

1.51(0.85%)

4781

Google Inc.

GOOG

1,062.99

11.24(1.07%)

7656

Home Depot Inc

HD

174

1.79(1.04%)

974

Intel Corp

INTC

48.15

0.77(1.63%)

77797

International Business Machines Co...

IBM

122.1

1.21(1.00%)

10724

Johnson & Johnson

JNJ

147.47

0.97(0.66%)

64249

JPMorgan Chase and Co

JPM

101.47

1.10(1.10%)

57411

Microsoft Corp

MSFT

110.28

1.69(1.56%)

267970

Nike

NKE

73.98

0.41(0.56%)

23502

Pfizer Inc

PFE

44.27

0.26(0.59%)

3258

Procter & Gamble Co

PG

94.16

0.25(0.27%)

18332

Starbucks Corporation, NASDAQ

SBUX

65.86

-0.06(-0.09%)

9146

Tesla Motors, Inc., NASDAQ

TSLA

369.77

3.01(0.82%)

37314

The Coca-Cola Co

KO

49.6

0.06(0.12%)

2310

Twitter, Inc., NYSE

TWTR

35.02

0.57(1.65%)

101854

UnitedHealth Group Inc

UNH

271.83

4.61(1.73%)

758

Verizon Communications Inc

VZ

58

-0.85(-1.44%)

50571

Visa

V

138.6

1.79(1.31%)

45223

Wal-Mart Stores Inc

WMT

94.07

0.22(0.23%)

32680

Walt Disney Co

DIS

113

1.03(0.92%)

3094

Yandex N.V., NASDAQ

YNDX

27.6

0.75(2.79%)

48078

13:45
Canadian industries operated at 82.6% of their production capacity in the third quarter, down from 84.1% in the previous quarter

The decline came in the wake of five consecutive quarterly increases.

The decrease in the third quarter was mainly attributed to declines in the manufacturing industries.

The capacity utilization rate of the manufacturing sector fell 2.9 percentage points to 78.8% in the third quarter. Year over year, the rate was down 1.5 percentage points. The decrease coincided with a decline in output.

Year over year, capacity utilization decreased in 16 of the 21 major manufacturing groups, accounting for approximately 70% of the manufacturing sector's gross domestic product.


13:43
The U.S Consumer Price Index was unchanged in November on a seasonally adjusted basis after rising 0.3 percent in October

The Consumer Price Index for was unchanged in November on a seasonally adjusted basis after rising 0.3 percent in October, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. Over the last 12 months, the all items index increased 2.2 percent before seasonal adjustment.

The gasoline index declined 4.2 percent in November, offsetting increases in an array of indexes including shelter and used cars and trucks. Other major energy component indexes were mixed, with the index for fuel oil falling but the indexes for electricity and natural gas rising. The food index rose in November, with the indexes for food at home and food away from home both increasing.  

The all items less food and energy index increased 0.2 percent in November. Along with the indexes for shelter and used cars and trucks, the indexes for

medical care, recreation, and water and sewer and trash collection also increased. The indexes for wireless telephone services, airline fares, and motor vehicle insurance declined in November.


13:43
Downgrades before the market open

Bank of America (BAC) downgraded to Mkt Perform from Outperform at Keefe Bruyette

Morgan Stanley (MS) downgraded to Mkt Perform from Outperform at Keefe Bruyette

Goldman Sachs (GS) downgraded to Neutral from Overweight at Atlantic Equities

Verizon (VZ) downgraded to Equal-Weight from Overweight at Morgan Stanley

13:30
U.S.: CPI, m/m , November 0% (forecast 0%)
13:30
U.S.: CPI, Y/Y, November 2.2% (forecast 2.2%)
13:30
U.S.: CPI excluding food and energy, Y/Y, November 2.2% (forecast 2.2%)
13:30
U.S.: CPI excluding food and energy, m/m, November 0.2% (forecast 0.2%)
13:30
Canada: Capacity Utilization Rate, Quarter III 82.6% (forecast 85.7%)
12:42
OPEC Production Falls by 11,000 B/D in November

  • Saudi Arabia Crude Production Surges in November, by 377,000 B/D

  • Global Oil Supply Hit 100.64 Mln B/D in November

  • OPEC Maintains Demand Forecasts for 2018, 2019

  • OECD Oil Inventories Rose to 3.883 Bln Barrels in Oct

12:33
Our BBC News tally says 158 Tory MPs have now said they will be backing the PM tonight - remember it’s secret ballot but that’s enough for her to win @bbclaurak
11:22
Oil prices rose Wednesday morning, boosted by signs of declining U.S. crude inventories

Brent crude, the global benchmark, was trading up 1.7% at $61.22 a barrel on London's Intercontinental Exchange.

West Texas Intermediate futures, the U.S. oil standard, were up 1.9% at $52.62 a barrel on the New York Mercantile Exchange.

The American Petroleum Institute, an industry group, reported late Tuesday that U.S. stockpiles of crude oil had reduced by 10.2 million barrels last week. The drop was considerably larger than market expectations of a 3.5 million barrel decline, according to analysts at ING Bank. The U.S. Energy Information Administration is set to release official inventory figures for last week on Wednesday.


10:02
Industrial production rose by 0.2% in both the euro area (EA19) and the EU28 m/m

In October 2018 compared with September 2018, seasonally adjusted industrial production rose by 0.2% in both the euro area (EA19) and the EU28, according to estimates from Eurostat. In September 2018, industrial production fell by 0.6% in the euro area and by 0.4% in the EU28. In October 2018 compared with October 2017, industrial production increased by 1.2% in the euro area and by 1.3% in the EU28.

In the euro area in October 2018, compared with September 2018, production of capital goods rose by 1.0%, durable consumer goods by 0.4% and intermediate goods by 0.2%, while production of non-durable consumer goods remained stable and the production of energy fell by 1.7%. In the EU28, production of capital goods rose by 0.8%, durable consumer goods by 0.6%, and intermediate goods and non-durable consumer goods by 0.3%, while production of energy fell by 1.4%.

10:00
Eurozone: Industrial production, (MoM), October 0.2% (forecast 0.2%)
10:00
Eurozone: Industrial Production (YoY), October 1.2% (forecast 0.7%)
08:38
The main stock markets in Europe are trading in the green zone:

FTSE  +23.08  6830.02 + 0.34%  DAX +39.16 10819.67  + 0.36% CAC +23.44 4829.64  + 0.49%

08:05
Options levels on wednesday, December 12, 2018 EURUSD GBPUSD

EUR/USD

Resistance levels (open interest**, contracts)

$1.1497 (650)

$1.1462 (315)

$1.1442 (136)

Price at time of writing this review: $1.1327

Support levels (open interest**, contracts):

$1.1298 (6616)

$1.1263 (4585)

$1.1225 (2512)


Comments:

- Overall open interest on the CALL options and PUT options with the expiration date January, 7 is 66626 contracts (according to data from December, 11) with the maximum number of contracts with strike price $1,1650 (7175);


GBP/USD

Resistance levels (open interest**, contracts)

$1.2781 (106)

$1.2756 (229)

$1.2733 (180)

Price at time of writing this review: $1.2502

Support levels (open interest**, contracts):

$1.2461 (1445)

$1.2436 (1469)

$1.2409 (1195)


Comments:

- Overall open interest on the CALL options with the expiration date January, 7 is 30681 contracts, with the maximum number of contracts with strike price $1,3400 (3847);

- Overall open interest on the PUT options with the expiration date January, 7 is 29370 contracts, with the maximum number of contracts with strike price $1,2450 (2756);

- The ratio of PUT/CALL was 0.96 versus 1.22 from the previous trading day according to data from December, 11

* - The Chicago Mercantile Exchange bulletin (CME) is used for the calculation.

** - Open interest takes into account the total number of option contracts that are open at the moment.

07:28
Futures: DAX + 0.6% FTSE + 0.8% CAC + 0.4%

A positive start of trading on the stock markets of Europe is expected. The optimistic tone of Asian trading, which emerged from Trump's previous comments on trading, helps to maintain an optimistic attitude towards risk.

06:37
Italy PM Conte Said To Seek Deficit Of 2.05% - 2.08% - Messaggero
06:36
President Trump sparred in public with top Congressional Democrats on Tuesday, declaring he would shut down the U.S. government if the Congress doesn't fund his proposed border wall - WSJ

"If we don't get what we want one way or another, whether it's through you, through the military, through whatever you want to call, I will shut down the government," Mr. Trump told House Minority Leader Nancy Pelosi (D., Calif.) and Senate Minority Leader Chuck Schumer (D., N.Y.) in the Oval Office.

"I am proud to shut down the government for border security, Chuck."



06:35
Canada judge grants bail to Huawei technologies CFO in U.S. Extradition case - Reuters
06:29
Long and frank discussion with PM Theresa May ahead of Brexit summit. Clear that EU27 wants to help. The question is how @eucopresident
06:28
The Westpac Melbourne Institute Index of Consumer Sentiment rose 0.1% to 104.4 in December from 104.3 in November

The consumer mood continues to hold at cautiously optimistic levels. With another reading above 100, December now marks a full year in which optimists have outnumbered pessimists, a turnaround on 2017 which saw ten out of twelve sentiment updates below the 100 line. That said, the margin is still fairly small with some of the detail in the December update on the soft side. The component indexes show more downbeat views on family finances and longer term economic prospects offset by a solid rise in buyer sentiment

04:31
Japan: Tertiary Industry Index , October 1.9% (forecast 0.9%)
02:30
Commodities. Daily history for Tuesday, December 11, 2018
Raw materials Closed Change, %
Brent 60.55 0.98
WTI 52.07 2.04
Silver 14.53 0.14
Gold 1242.822 -0.1
Palladium 1244.8 1.12
00:30
Stocks. Daily history for Tuesday, December 11, 2018
Index Change, points Closed Change, %
NIKKEI 225 -71.48 21148.02 -0.34
Hang Seng 19.29 25771.67 0.07
KOSPI -0.82 2052.97 -0.04
ASX 200 23.4 5575.9 0.42
FTSE 100 85.4 6806.94 1.27
DAX 158.44 10780.51 1.49
Dow Jones -53.02 24370.24 -0.22
S&P 500 -0.94 2636.78 -0.04
NASDAQ Composite 11.31 7031.83 0.16
00:15
Currencies. Daily history for Tuesday, December 11, 2018
Pare Closed Change, %
AUDUSD 0.72017 0.18
EURJPY 128.324 -0.26
EURUSD 1.13178 -0.32
GBPJPY 141.596 -0.49
GBPUSD 1.2488 -0.57
NZDUSD 0.68728 0.05
USDCAD 1.33889 -0.08
USDCHF 0.99309 0.3
USDJPY 113.378 0.06

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