Time | Country | Event | Period | Previous value | Forecast |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
00:30 | Australia | National Australia Bank's Business Confidence | October | 6 | |
07:00 | Germany | CPI, m/m | October | 0.4% | 0.2% |
07:00 | Germany | CPI, y/y | October | 2.3% | 2.5% |
07:45 | France | Non-Farm Payrolls | Quarter III | 0.1% | |
08:00 | Eurozone | ECB's Peter Praet Speaks | |||
08:15 | Switzerland | Producer & Import Prices, y/y | October | 2.6% | |
09:30 | United Kingdom | Average earnings ex bonuses, 3 m/y | September | 3.1% | 3.1% |
09:30 | United Kingdom | Average Earnings, 3m/y | September | 2.7% | 3% |
09:30 | United Kingdom | ILO Unemployment Rate | September | 4% | 4% |
09:30 | United Kingdom | Claimant count | October | 18.5 | 4.3 |
10:00 | Eurozone | ZEW Economic Sentiment | November | -19.4 | -17.3 |
10:00 | Germany | ZEW Survey - Economic Sentiment | November | -24.7 | -24.2 |
19:00 | U.S. | Federal budget | October | 119 | -98 |
22:00 | U.S. | FOMC Member Daly Speaks | |||
23:30 | Australia | Westpac Consumer Confidence | November | 101.5 | |
23:50 | Japan | GDP, y/y | Quarter III | 3% | -1% |
23:50 | Japan | GDP, q/q | Quarter III | 0.7% | -0.3% |
Major US stock indexes have fallen significantly, as the fall in shares of Apple Inc after the weak forecasts of the company's two suppliers had a negative impact on the technology sector.
Lumentum, a supplier of three-dimensional laser sensors for Face ID on the iPhone, lowered forecasts for the main financial indicators for the current quarter due to a request from one of its largest buyers to significantly reduce shipments in this period. It is assumed that this buyer is most likely Apple.
Market participants also drew attention to the statements of the Federal Reserve Bank President Mary Daly, who noted that the situation in the economy speaks in favor of a further increase in interest rates. “The current economic situation in the United States is“ extremely positive, ”whereas the target levels of employment and inflation rates that are provided for by the Fed’s mandate are practically achieved, which speaks in favor of a gradual normalization of monetary policy, she said.
Most of the DOW components showed a fall (26 of 30). The growth leader was the shares of The Coca-Cola Company (KO, + 0.56%). The Goldman Sachs Group, Inc. shares turned out to be an outsider. (GS, -7.62%).
Almost all sectors of the S & P finished trading in the red. The largest decline is shown by the technology sector (-2.2%). Only the utility sector grew (+ 0.1%).
At the time of closing:
Dow 25,387.18 -602.12 -2.32%
S & P 500 2,726.22 -54.79 -1.97%
Nasdaq 100 7,200.87 -206.03 -2.78%
Time | Country | Event | Period | Previous value | Forecast |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
00:30 | Australia | National Australia Bank's Business Confidence | October | 6 | |
07:00 | Germany | CPI, m/m | October | 0.4% | 0.2% |
07:00 | Germany | CPI, y/y | October | 2.3% | 2.5% |
07:45 | France | Non-Farm Payrolls | Quarter III | 0.1% | |
08:00 | Eurozone | ECB's Peter Praet Speaks | |||
08:15 | Switzerland | Producer & Import Prices, y/y | October | 2.6% | |
09:30 | United Kingdom | Average earnings ex bonuses, 3 m/y | September | 3.1% | 3.1% |
09:30 | United Kingdom | Average Earnings, 3m/y | September | 2.7% | 3% |
09:30 | United Kingdom | ILO Unemployment Rate | September | 4% | 4% |
09:30 | United Kingdom | Claimant count | October | 18.5 | 4.3 |
10:00 | Eurozone | ZEW Economic Sentiment | November | -19.4 | -17.3 |
10:00 | Germany | ZEW Survey - Economic Sentiment | November | -24.7 | -24.2 |
19:00 | U.S. | Federal budget | October | 119 | -98 |
22:00 | U.S. | FOMC Member Daly Speaks | |||
23:30 | Australia | Westpac Consumer Confidence | November | 101.5 | |
23:50 | Japan | GDP, y/y | Quarter III | 3% | -1% |
23:50 | Japan | GDP, q/q | Quarter III | 0.7% | -0.3% |
European Commission Prsident Juncker said in an interview with a German television channel that he was “moderately concerned” with Italy’s relations with the European Union after the European Commission announced that the Rome budget project for 2019 had violated EU budget rules.
“Italians are moving away not only from what they promised us, but also from the minimum requirements of the Stability Pact (EU Budget Rules),” Juncker told the German news channel.
Italy’s budget for 2019 was rejected by the European Commission. The commission gave Rome time until Tuesday to submit a new budget and may initiate disciplinary action against Rome at the end of this month.
U.S. stock-index futures fell moderately on Monday, as a drop in Apple shares (AAPL; -2.3%) and lingering worries about global trade offset a surge in crude prices.
Global Stocks:
Index/commodity | Last | Today's Change, points | Today's Change, % |
Nikkei | 22,269.88 | +19.63 | +0.09% |
Hang Seng | 25,633.18 | +31.26 | +0.12% |
Shanghai | 2,630.52 | +31.65 | +1.22% |
S&P/ASX | 5,941.30 | +19.50 | +0.33% |
FTSE | 7,090.38 | -14.96 | -0.21% |
CAC | 5,084.41 | -22.34 | -0.44% |
DAX | 11,375.00 | -154.16 | -1.34% |
Crude | $60.95 | +1.26% | |
Gold | $1,206.20 | -0.20% |
BP rises 1.7% and Royal Dutch Shell A-shares advance 1.4% as the price of a barrel of Brent crude increases by 0.9% to $70.84
(company / ticker / price / change ($/%) / volume)
ALCOA INC. | AA | 34.6 | 0.24(0.70%) | 820 |
ALTRIA GROUP INC. | MO | 60.55 | -2.87(-4.53%) | 104391 |
Amazon.com Inc., NASDAQ | AMZN | 1,692.00 | -20.43(-1.19%) | 65262 |
Apple Inc. | AAPL | 199.2 | -5.27(-2.58%) | 754620 |
AT&T Inc | T | 30.64 | -0.05(-0.16%) | 54835 |
Barrick Gold Corporation, NYSE | ABX | 12.75 | -0.16(-1.24%) | 5755 |
Boeing Co | BA | 366.3 | -3.04(-0.82%) | 1564 |
Caterpillar Inc | CAT | 125.88 | -1.03(-0.81%) | 3638 |
Chevron Corp | CVX | 120.5 | 0.99(0.83%) | 2451 |
Cisco Systems Inc | CSCO | 46.88 | -0.23(-0.49%) | 25766 |
Citigroup Inc., NYSE | C | 65.4 | -0.36(-0.55%) | 1685 |
Exxon Mobil Corp | XOM | 81.24 | 0.37(0.46%) | 7374 |
Facebook, Inc. | FB | 144.49 | -0.47(-0.32%) | 77995 |
Ford Motor Co. | F | 9.34 | -0.04(-0.43%) | 19179 |
Freeport-McMoRan Copper & Gold Inc., NYSE | FCX | 11.41 | 0.06(0.53%) | 12542 |
General Electric Co | GE | 8.43 | -0.15(-1.75%) | 756351 |
General Motors Company, NYSE | GM | 35.5 | -0.20(-0.56%) | 2765 |
Goldman Sachs | GS | 222 | -0.65(-0.29%) | 3239 |
Google Inc. | GOOG | 1,059.00 | -7.15(-0.67%) | 5619 |
Home Depot Inc | HD | 185.5 | -0.49(-0.26%) | 3099 |
Intel Corp | INTC | 47.65 | -0.46(-0.96%) | 233688 |
International Business Machines Co... | IBM | 123.01 | -0.53(-0.43%) | 1772 |
Johnson & Johnson | JNJ | 145.29 | -0.05(-0.03%) | 3006 |
Microsoft Corp | MSFT | 109.11 | -0.46(-0.42%) | 38917 |
Pfizer Inc | PFE | 44.2 | -0.08(-0.18%) | 12530 |
Procter & Gamble Co | PG | 92.25 | -0.16(-0.17%) | 3791 |
Starbucks Corporation, NASDAQ | SBUX | 68.41 | -0.19(-0.28%) | 14455 |
Tesla Motors, Inc., NASDAQ | TSLA | 348.85 | -1.66(-0.47%) | 31838 |
The Coca-Cola Co | KO | 49.64 | -0.04(-0.08%) | 5208 |
Twitter, Inc., NYSE | TWTR | 33.72 | -0.36(-1.06%) | 7757 |
UnitedHealth Group Inc | UNH | 275.3 | -1.25(-0.45%) | 1480 |
Verizon Communications Inc | VZ | 58.51 | 0.05(0.09%) | 3335 |
Visa | V | 143.5 | -0.43(-0.30%) | 3008 |
Wal-Mart Stores Inc | WMT | 105.8 | 0.24(0.23%) | 3860 |
Walt Disney Co | DIS | 117.9 | -0.10(-0.08%) | 10591 |
Yandex N.V., NASDAQ | YNDX | 28.53 | 0.32(1.13%) | 9327 |
UK PM May Spokesman: Cabinet Has Backed The PM In Moving Forward On Brexit, Expect Them To Continue To Do So
We Need to Do Whatever It Takes to Balance the Oil Market
Within Policy Circles, There Is 'No Consideration Whatsoever' to Eliminate OPEC
Danske Bank continues to be long on Danish government bonds versus core bonds, expecting they will benefit from strong liquidity backflow in the middle of the month. The 0.25% November 2018 bond will bond will mature on Nov. 15, and several other Danish bonds will also pay coupons. "We continue to be long Danish government bonds versus core as liquidity is supportive together with little net supply and foreign interest given the 'yield pickup' from the FX forwards," says Danske senior analyst Mikael Olai Milhoj.
No Doubt That 2019 Will Be Difficult Year
Australian Prime Minister Scott Morrison told CNBC on Monday that his country would increase its involvement in the Pacific. "Australia is a principal participant in the Pacific and we are stepping up our involvement there, both strategically and economically and socially as well," Morrison said.
A positive start of trading in the stock markets of Europe is expected, following basically similar tones in Asian funds markets. Weaker currencies are a big catalyst as the pound and the euro fell due to Brexit and the Italian problems.
Moody's Investors Service says in a new report. Trade, political and geopolitical risks will likely escalate as tensions between the US and China heighten. In addition, consequences of slower growth will increasingly thrust globalization and inequality debates into the political arena.
"The slowdown in economic growth will give way to even weaker global credit conditions in 2020, while the multitude of risks on the horizon are increasing both in number and severity," says Elena Duggar, Chair of Moody's Macroeconomic Board. "Tightening monetary policy, worsening economic disputes and slower demand from China are three key drivers that will dominate the weaker growth outlook."
Geopolitical and domestic political tensions will dominate the risk landscape for global credit conditions and credit quality in 2019. Tensions between the US and China will spread far beyond trade disputes, while the risk of the UK withdrawing from the EU without a trade agreement in place has risen. Meanwhile, domestic political risks will continue to weigh on the credit outlooks for Italy, Brazil, Turkey and Argentina.
Advances in digital technologies will lead to productivity improvements and business disruptions as companies face pressure to keep pace with a changing competitive landscape. Meanwhile, cyber risks and data privacy issues will add to operational and reputational risks for governments and industries.
Pence Says Trump's Absence At Asia Summits Is Not A Snub
EUR/USD
Resistance levels (open interest**, contracts)
$1.1474 (1727)
$1.1449 (621)
$1.1413 (55)
Price at time of writing this review: $1.1337
Support levels (open interest**, contracts):
$1.1293 (5117)
$1.1268 (2350)
$1.1238 (3428)
Comments:
- Overall open interest on the CALL options and PUT options with the expiration date December, 7 is 117582 contracts (according to data from November, 9) with the maximum number of contracts with strike price $1,1200 (6093);
GBP/USD
Resistance levels (open interest**, contracts)
$1.3130 (2110)
$1.3092 (1194)
$1.3062 (614)
Price at time of writing this review: $1.2968
Support levels (open interest**, contracts):
$1.2907 (1312)
$1.2867 (1033)
$1.2843 (2346)
Comments:
- Overall open interest on the CALL options with the expiration date December, 7 is 54313 contracts, with the maximum number of contracts with strike price $1,3500 (5071);
- Overall open interest on the PUT options with the expiration date December, 7 is 44476 contracts, with the maximum number of contracts with strike price $1,2500 (4365);
- The ratio of PUT/CALL was 0.82 versus 1.28 from the previous trading day according to data from November, 9
* - The Chicago Mercantile Exchange bulletin (CME) is used for the calculation.
** - Open interest takes into account the total number of option contracts that are open at the moment.
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