CFD Markets News and Forecasts — 12-11-2018

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12.11.2018
22:30
Schedule for today, Tuesday, November 13, 2018
Time Country Event Period Previous value Forecast
00:30 Australia National Australia Bank's Business Confidence October 6  
07:00 Germany CPI, m/m October 0.4% 0.2%
07:00 Germany CPI, y/y October 2.3% 2.5%
07:45 France Non-Farm Payrolls Quarter III 0.1%  
08:00 Eurozone ECB's Peter Praet Speaks    
08:15 Switzerland Producer & Import Prices, y/y October 2.6%  
09:30 United Kingdom Average earnings ex bonuses, 3 m/y September 3.1% 3.1%
09:30 United Kingdom Average Earnings, 3m/y September 2.7% 3%
09:30 United Kingdom ILO Unemployment Rate September 4% 4%
09:30 United Kingdom Claimant count October 18.5 4.3
10:00 Eurozone ZEW Economic Sentiment November -19.4 -17.3
10:00 Germany ZEW Survey - Economic Sentiment November -24.7 -24.2
19:00 U.S. Federal budget October 119 -98
22:00 U.S. FOMC Member Daly Speaks    
23:30 Australia Westpac Consumer Confidence November 101.5  
23:50 Japan GDP, y/y Quarter III 3% -1%
23:50 Japan GDP, q/q Quarter III 0.7% -0.3%
22:01
New Zealand: Food Prices Index, y/y, October 0.6%
21:10
Major US stock indexes finished trading in negative territory

Major US stock indexes have fallen significantly, as the fall in shares of Apple Inc after the weak forecasts of the company's two suppliers had a negative impact on the technology sector.

Lumentum, a supplier of three-dimensional laser sensors for Face ID on the iPhone, lowered forecasts for the main financial indicators for the current quarter due to a request from one of its largest buyers to significantly reduce shipments in this period. It is assumed that this buyer is most likely Apple.

Market participants also drew attention to the statements of the Federal Reserve Bank President Mary Daly, who noted that the situation in the economy speaks in favor of a further increase in interest rates. “The current economic situation in the United States is“ extremely positive, ”whereas the target levels of employment and inflation rates that are provided for by the Fed’s mandate are practically achieved, which speaks in favor of a gradual normalization of monetary policy, she said.

Most of the DOW components showed a fall (26 of 30). The growth leader was the shares of The Coca-Cola Company (KO, + 0.56%). The Goldman Sachs Group, Inc. shares turned out to be an outsider. (GS, -7.62%).

Almost all sectors of the S & P finished trading in the red. The largest decline is shown by the technology sector (-2.2%). Only the utility sector grew (+ 0.1%).

At the time of closing:

Dow 25,387.18 -602.12 -2.32%

S & P 500 2,726.22 -54.79 -1.97%

Nasdaq 100 7,200.87 -206.03 -2.78%

20:50
Schedule for tomorrow, Tuesday, November 13, 2018
Time Country Event Period Previous value Forecast
00:30 Australia National Australia Bank's Business Confidence October 6  
07:00 Germany CPI, m/m October 0.4% 0.2%
07:00 Germany CPI, y/y October 2.3% 2.5%
07:45 France Non-Farm Payrolls Quarter III 0.1%  
08:00 Eurozone ECB's Peter Praet Speaks    
08:15 Switzerland Producer & Import Prices, y/y October 2.6%  
09:30 United Kingdom Average earnings ex bonuses, 3 m/y September 3.1% 3.1%
09:30 United Kingdom Average Earnings, 3m/y September 2.7% 3%
09:30 United Kingdom ILO Unemployment Rate September 4% 4%
09:30 United Kingdom Claimant count October 18.5 4.3
10:00 Eurozone ZEW Economic Sentiment November -19.4 -17.3
10:00 Germany ZEW Survey - Economic Sentiment November -24.7 -24.2
19:00 U.S. Federal budget October 119 -98
22:00 U.S. FOMC Member Daly Speaks    
23:30 Australia Westpac Consumer Confidence November 101.5  
23:50 Japan GDP, y/y Quarter III 3% -1%
23:50 Japan GDP, q/q Quarter III 0.7% -0.3%
20:01
DJIA -1.75% 25,535.00 -454.30 Nasdaq -2.16% 7,246.55 -160.35 S&P -1.41% 2,741.74 -39.27
17:00
European stocks closed: FTSE 100 -52.26 7053.08 -0.74% DAX -203.72 11325.44 -1.77% CAC 40 -47.66 5059.09 -0.93%
15:12
European Commission President Jean-Claude Juncker concerned about Italy’s relations with the EU

European Commission Prsident Juncker said in an interview with a German television channel that he was “moderately concerned” with Italy’s relations with the European Union after the European Commission announced that the Rome budget project for 2019 had violated EU budget rules.

“Italians are moving away not only from what they promised us, but also from the minimum requirements of the Stability Pact (EU Budget Rules),” Juncker told the German news channel.

Italy’s budget for 2019 was rejected by the European Commission. The commission gave Rome time until Tuesday to submit a new budget and may initiate disciplinary action against Rome at the end of this month.


14:48
Barnier said to tell EU27 Brexit agreement still not reached @zerohedge
14:33
U.S. Stocks open: Dow -0.23%, Nasdaq -0.61%, S&P -0.28%
14:28
Before the bell: S&P futures -0.21%, NASDAQ futures -0.52%

U.S. stock-index futures fell moderately on Monday, as a drop in Apple shares (AAPL; -2.3%) and lingering worries about global trade offset a surge in crude prices.


Global Stocks:

Index/commodity

Last

Today's Change, points

Today's Change, %

Nikkei

22,269.88

+19.63

+0.09%

Hang Seng

25,633.18

+31.26

+0.12%

Shanghai

2,630.52

+31.65

+1.22%

S&P/ASX

5,941.30

+19.50

+0.33%

FTSE

7,090.38

-14.96

-0.21%

CAC

5,084.41

-22.34

-0.44%

DAX

11,375.00

-154.16

-1.34%

Crude

$60.95


+1.26%

Gold

$1,206.20


-0.20%

14:15
Oil majors gain after crude prices rise in response to comments by Saudi Arabia that it may cut production by more than expected

  • BP rises 1.7% and Royal Dutch Shell A-shares advance 1.4% as the price of a barrel of Brent crude increases by 0.9% to $70.84

14:10
Brexit: FT says EU negotiator Barnier has said main elements of Brexit treaty text ready
14:00
Wall Street. Stocks before the bell

(company / ticker / price / change ($/%) / volume)


ALCOA INC.

AA

34.6

0.24(0.70%)

820

ALTRIA GROUP INC.

MO

60.55

-2.87(-4.53%)

104391

Amazon.com Inc., NASDAQ

AMZN

1,692.00

-20.43(-1.19%)

65262

Apple Inc.

AAPL

199.2

-5.27(-2.58%)

754620

AT&T Inc

T

30.64

-0.05(-0.16%)

54835

Barrick Gold Corporation, NYSE

ABX

12.75

-0.16(-1.24%)

5755

Boeing Co

BA

366.3

-3.04(-0.82%)

1564

Caterpillar Inc

CAT

125.88

-1.03(-0.81%)

3638

Chevron Corp

CVX

120.5

0.99(0.83%)

2451

Cisco Systems Inc

CSCO

46.88

-0.23(-0.49%)

25766

Citigroup Inc., NYSE

C

65.4

-0.36(-0.55%)

1685

Exxon Mobil Corp

XOM

81.24

0.37(0.46%)

7374

Facebook, Inc.

FB

144.49

-0.47(-0.32%)

77995

Ford Motor Co.

F

9.34

-0.04(-0.43%)

19179

Freeport-McMoRan Copper & Gold Inc., NYSE

FCX

11.41

0.06(0.53%)

12542

General Electric Co

GE

8.43

-0.15(-1.75%)

756351

General Motors Company, NYSE

GM

35.5

-0.20(-0.56%)

2765

Goldman Sachs

GS

222

-0.65(-0.29%)

3239

Google Inc.

GOOG

1,059.00

-7.15(-0.67%)

5619

Home Depot Inc

HD

185.5

-0.49(-0.26%)

3099

Intel Corp

INTC

47.65

-0.46(-0.96%)

233688

International Business Machines Co...

IBM

123.01

-0.53(-0.43%)

1772

Johnson & Johnson

JNJ

145.29

-0.05(-0.03%)

3006

Microsoft Corp

MSFT

109.11

-0.46(-0.42%)

38917

Pfizer Inc

PFE

44.2

-0.08(-0.18%)

12530

Procter & Gamble Co

PG

92.25

-0.16(-0.17%)

3791

Starbucks Corporation, NASDAQ

SBUX

68.41

-0.19(-0.28%)

14455

Tesla Motors, Inc., NASDAQ

TSLA

348.85

-1.66(-0.47%)

31838

The Coca-Cola Co

KO

49.64

-0.04(-0.08%)

5208

Twitter, Inc., NYSE

TWTR

33.72

-0.36(-1.06%)

7757

UnitedHealth Group Inc

UNH

275.3

-1.25(-0.45%)

1480

Verizon Communications Inc

VZ

58.51

0.05(0.09%)

3335

Visa

V

143.5

-0.43(-0.30%)

3008

Wal-Mart Stores Inc

WMT

105.8

0.24(0.23%)

3860

Walt Disney Co

DIS

117.9

-0.10(-0.08%)

10591

Yandex N.V., NASDAQ

YNDX

28.53

0.32(1.13%)

9327

12:31
EU: Intense Brexit Talks Going On At A Technical Level, Not There Yet In Brexit Negotiations @LiveSquawk

  • UK PM May Spokesman: Cabinet Has Backed The PM In Moving Forward On Brexit, Expect Them To Continue To Do So

12:28
Saudi Energy Min: OPEC, Allies Will Need to Cut Production by 1M B/D at Group Level, if Current Oil Supply-Demand Levels Persist

  • We Need to Do Whatever It Takes to Balance the Oil Market

  • Within Policy Circles, There Is 'No Consideration Whatsoever' to Eliminate OPEC

08:47
Danske Bank continues to be long on Danish government bonds versus core bonds

Danske Bank continues to be long on Danish government bonds versus core bonds, expecting they will benefit from strong liquidity backflow in the middle of the month. The 0.25% November 2018 bond will bond will mature on Nov. 15, and several other Danish bonds will also pay coupons. "We continue to be long Danish government bonds versus core as liquidity is supportive together with little net supply and foreign interest given the 'yield pickup' from the FX forwards," says Danske senior analyst Mikael Olai Milhoj.

08:45
OPEC President: Won't Oversupply the Market Unless It Is Required

  • No Doubt That 2019 Will Be Difficult Year

07:47
Australia prime minister: We are stepping up our involvement in Pacific nations - CNBC

Australian Prime Minister Scott Morrison told CNBC on Monday that his country would increase its involvement in the Pacific. "Australia is a principal participant in the Pacific and we are stepping up our involvement there, both strategically and economically and socially as well," Morrison said.

07:46
Futures: DAX + 0,3% FTSE + 0.3% CAC + 0.4%

A positive start of trading in the stock markets of Europe is expected, following basically similar tones in Asian funds markets. Weaker currencies are a big catalyst as the pound and the euro fell due to Brexit and the Italian problems.

07:30
Global credit conditions will weaken in 2019 as economic growth decelerates, funding costs increase, liquidity tightens and market volatility returns - Moody's

Moody's Investors Service says in a new report. Trade, political and geopolitical risks will likely escalate as tensions between the US and China heighten. In addition, consequences of slower growth will increasingly thrust globalization and inequality debates into the political arena.

"The slowdown in economic growth will give way to even weaker global credit conditions in 2020, while the multitude of risks on the horizon are increasing both in number and severity," says Elena Duggar, Chair of Moody's Macroeconomic Board. "Tightening monetary policy, worsening economic disputes and slower demand from China are three key drivers that will dominate the weaker growth outlook."

Geopolitical and domestic political tensions will dominate the risk landscape for global credit conditions and credit quality in 2019. Tensions between the US and China will spread far beyond trade disputes, while the risk of the UK withdrawing from the EU without a trade agreement in place has risen. Meanwhile, domestic political risks will continue to weigh on the credit outlooks for Italy, Brazil, Turkey and Argentina.

Advances in digital technologies will lead to productivity improvements and business disruptions as companies face pressure to keep pace with a changing competitive landscape. Meanwhile, cyber risks and data privacy issues will add to operational and reputational risks for governments and industries.


07:27
EUR/USD falls fast below 1.1300, the former double-bottom, on USD strength - fxstreet
06:16
Japan: Prelim Machine Tool Orders, y/y , October -1.1%
06:08
Options levels on monday, November 12, 2018 EURUSD GBPUSD

EUR/USD

Resistance levels (open interest**, contracts)

$1.1474 (1727)

$1.1449 (621)

$1.1413 (55)

Price at time of writing this review: $1.1337

Support levels (open interest**, contracts):

$1.1293 (5117)

$1.1268 (2350)

$1.1238 (3428)


Comments:

- Overall open interest on the CALL options and PUT options with the expiration date December, 7 is 117582 contracts (according to data from November, 9) with the maximum number of contracts with strike price $1,1200 (6093);


GBP/USD

Resistance levels (open interest**, contracts)

$1.3130 (2110)

$1.3092 (1194)

$1.3062 (614)

Price at time of writing this review: $1.2968

Support levels (open interest**, contracts):

$1.2907 (1312)

$1.2867 (1033)

$1.2843 (2346)


Comments:

- Overall open interest on the CALL options with the expiration date December, 7 is 54313 contracts, with the maximum number of contracts with strike price $1,3500 (5071);

- Overall open interest on the PUT options with the expiration date December, 7 is 44476 contracts, with the maximum number of contracts with strike price $1,2500 (4365);

- The ratio of PUT/CALL was 0.82 versus 1.28 from the previous trading day according to data from November, 9

* - The Chicago Mercantile Exchange bulletin (CME) is used for the calculation.

** - Open interest takes into account the total number of option contracts that are open at the moment.

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