U.S. stock-index futures rose noticeably on Friday, as worries over rising rates mitigated and tech shares recovered from drastic losses earlier this week. In addition, a slew of strong bank financials also helped boost the market.
Global Stocks:
Index/commodity | Last | Today's Change, points | Today's Change, % |
Nikkei | 22,694.66 | +103.80 | +0.46% |
Hang Seng | 25,801.49 | +535.12 | +2.12% |
Shanghai | 2,606.91 | +23.45 | +0.91% |
S&P/ASX | 5,895.70 | +11.90 | +0.20% |
FTSE | 7,058.45 | +51.52 | +0.74% |
CAC | 5,149.49 | +43.12 | +0.84% |
DAX | 11,624.28 | +84.93 | +0.74% |
Crude | $71.89 | | +1.30% |
Gold | $1,224.20 | | -0.28% |
I'm Not Worried About Inflation
(company / ticker / price / change ($/%) / volume)
3M Co | MMM | 199 | 2.27(1.15%) | 2348 |
ALCOA INC. | AA | 36.55 | 0.88(2.47%) | 1803 |
ALTRIA GROUP INC. | MO | 60.56 | -0.56(-0.92%) | 2484 |
Amazon.com Inc., NASDAQ | AMZN | 1,784.98 | 65.62(3.82%) | 200773 |
American Express Co | AXP | 103.59 | 2.01(1.98%) | 3327 |
AMERICAN INTERNATIONAL GROUP | AIG | 50.93 | 0.79(1.58%) | 1452 |
Apple Inc. | AAPL | 219.08 | 4.63(2.16%) | 346471 |
AT&T Inc | T | 32.18 | 0.43(1.35%) | 101599 |
Barrick Gold Corporation, NYSE | ABX | 12.54 | -0.04(-0.32%) | 95987 |
Boeing Co | BA | 365.48 | 7.37(2.06%) | 21676 |
Caterpillar Inc | CAT | 144 | 3.03(2.15%) | 5445 |
Chevron Corp | CVX | 120.4 | 1.97(1.66%) | 4811 |
Cisco Systems Inc | CSCO | 45.23 | 1.11(2.52%) | 55675 |
Citigroup Inc., NYSE | C | 70.24 | 1.86(2.72%) | 221802 |
Deere & Company, NYSE | DE | 148.22 | 1.75(1.19%) | 3958 |
Exxon Mobil Corp | XOM | 82.9 | 1.30(1.59%) | 4637 |
Facebook, Inc. | FB | 155.94 | 2.59(1.69%) | 242906 |
Ford Motor Co. | F | 8.95 | 0.14(1.59%) | 55921 |
Freeport-McMoRan Copper & Gold Inc., NYSE | FCX | 13.6 | 0.42(3.19%) | 51277 |
General Electric Co | GE | 12.82 | 0.10(0.79%) | 491350 |
General Motors Company, NYSE | GM | 32.76 | 0.45(1.39%) | 4495 |
Goldman Sachs | GS | 217.3 | 4.33(2.03%) | 27689 |
Google Inc. | GOOG | 1,101.87 | 22.55(2.09%) | 11661 |
Hewlett-Packard Co. | HPQ | 23.6 | 0.59(2.56%) | 7616 |
Home Depot Inc | HD | 193 | 3.26(1.72%) | 8613 |
HONEYWELL INTERNATIONAL INC. | HON | 155.8 | 2.18(1.42%) | 2524 |
Intel Corp | INTC | 45.14 | 0.91(2.06%) | 82064 |
International Business Machines Co... | IBM | 141.28 | 2.26(1.63%) | 6459 |
International Paper Company | IP | 43.94 | 1.12(2.62%) | 1764 |
Johnson & Johnson | JNJ | 134.75 | 0.91(0.68%) | 7840 |
JPMorgan Chase and Co | JPM | 110 | 1.87(1.73%) | 273095 |
McDonald's Corp | MCD | 165.4 | 2.43(1.49%) | 2830 |
Merck & Co Inc | MRK | 69.45 | 1.08(1.58%) | 2568 |
Microsoft Corp | MSFT | 108.86 | 2.95(2.79%) | 286779 |
Nike | NKE | 75.55 | 1.04(1.40%) | 16791 |
Pfizer Inc | PFE | 43.25 | 0.44(1.03%) | 7297 |
Procter & Gamble Co | PG | 79.44 | 0.57(0.72%) | 7123 |
Starbucks Corporation, NASDAQ | SBUX | 55.97 | 1.11(2.02%) | 35881 |
Tesla Motors, Inc., NASDAQ | TSLA | 258.98 | 6.75(2.68%) | 110789 |
The Coca-Cola Co | KO | 44.86 | 0.22(0.49%) | 4285 |
Twitter, Inc., NYSE | TWTR | 27.73 | 0.73(2.70%) | 76546 |
UnitedHealth Group Inc | UNH | 261.09 | 3.97(1.54%) | 3906 |
Verizon Communications Inc | VZ | 54 | 0.67(1.26%) | 15726 |
Visa | V | 137.46 | 3.73(2.79%) | 35195 |
Wal-Mart Stores Inc | WMT | 95.25 | 1.33(1.42%) | 11553 |
Walt Disney Co | DIS | 111.4 | 0.25(0.22%) | 68741 |
Twitter (TWTR) upgraded to Hold from Sell at Pivotal Research Group; target lowered to $24 from $26
Microsoft (MSFT) upgraded to Outperform from Neutral at Macquarie
Prices for U.S. imports increased 0.5 percent in September, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today, after declining 0.4 percent in August and 0.1 percent in July. The September advance was led by higher fuel prices. U.S. export prices recorded no change in September following declines of 0.2 percent and 0.5 percent the previous 2 months.
Import prices advanced 0.5 percent in September, the first monthly increase since a 0.9-percent rise in May. The upturn reversed the declines in each of the previous 2 months. Prices for overall imports rose 3.5 percent from September 2017 to September 2018 and have not recorded an over-the-year decrease since the index fell 0.2 percent in October 2016.
Wells Fargo (WFC) reported Q3 FY 2018 earnings of $1.13 per share (versus $0.84 in Q3 FY 2017), missing analysts' consensus estimate of $1.17.
The company's quarterly revenues amounted to $21.941 bln (+0.4% y/y), generally in-line with analysts' consensus estimate of $21.850 bln.
WFC rose to $52.28 (+1.63%) in pre-market trading.
Citigroup (C) reported Q3 FY 2018 earnings of $1.73 per share (versus $1.42 in Q3 FY 2017), beating analysts' consensus estimate of $1.66.
The company's quarterly revenues amounted to $18.389 bln (-0.2% y/y), generally in-line with analysts' consensus estimate of $18.469 bln.
С rose to $69.80 (+2.08%) in pre-market trading.
JPMorgan Chase (JPM) reported Q3 FY 2018 earnings of $2.34 per share (versus $1.76 in Q3 FY 2017), beating analysts' consensus estimate of $2.26.
The company's quarterly revenues amounted to $27.3 bln (+7.8% y/y), generally in-line with analysts' consensus estimate of $27.318 bln.
JPM rose to $109.38 (+1.16%) in pre-market trading.
Some Parts of Real-Estate Markets Warrant Close Monitoring in Some Eurozone Countries
No Sign of Excessive Credit Growth, Broad-Based Asset Price Misalignments
The price of oil dropped sharply on Wednesday and Thursday, but Friday's rally erased some of the losses and, more importantly, oil remained above the bullish trend line from August lows. It was trading at more than 1 per cent stronger on Friday, hovering slightly below the 72 USD level.
Yesterday, bears pushed the price slightly below the uptrend line, which is currently at around 71.20 USD, but today's dip buying brought the price back above the trend line. As long as the price remains above this line, the outlook still seems bullish.
The next target for bulls could be at previous highs, which are located near 72.80 USD and, if this resistance is broken, further rise toward 74.30 USD might occur quickly. The greenback has been falling in recent days and inflation slowed notably, meaning oil could be supported by these factors in the near future.
On the downside, support might be at the mentioned trend line, currently at 71.30 USD and if not held, yesterday's lows of 70.55 USD might be tested. Another buying zone could be located at the psychological level of 70.00 USD.
Disclaimer:
Analysis and opinions provided herein are intended solely for informational and educational purposes and don't represent a recommendation or an investment advice by TeleTrade. Indiscriminate reliance on illustrative or informational materials may lead to losses.
In August 2018 compared with July 2018, seasonally adjusted industrial production rose by 1.0% in the euro area (EA19) and by 0.8% in the EU28, according to estimates from Eurostat, the statistical office of the European Union. In July 2018, industrial production fell by 0.7% in the euro area and by 0.6% in the EU28. In August 2018 compared with August 2017, industrial production increased by 0.9% in the euro area and by 1.2% in the EU28.
In the euro area in August 2018, compared with July 2018, production of energy rose by 1.9%, durable consumer goods by 1.5%, both capital goods and non-durable consumer goods by 1.4% and intermediate goods by 0.4%. In the EU28, production of capital goods rose by 1.2%, non-durable consumer goods by 1.1%, energy by 0.9%, durable consumer goods by 0.8% and intermediate goods by 0.3%. Among Member States for which data are available, the highest increases in industrial production were registered in Malta (+9.9%), Ireland (+8.0%) and Hungary (+3.8%). A decrease was observed in Denmark (-4.5%).
Sees Oil Demand Growing at 1.3 Mln B/D in 2018, 1.4 Mln B/D in 2019
Global Oil Supply Was Steady in September at Around 100 Mln B/D
Total OPEC Crude Output Rose in September by 100,000 B/D
Says Russian Oil Production Rose in September by 160,000 B/D
Iranian Oil Output Fell in September by 180,000 B/D
Uncertainty around inflation outlook is receding
Economic indicators suggest that broad-based growth will continue
Significant monetary policy stimulus is still needed
Underlying inflation is expected to pick up towards the end of the year
And it would then increase gradually over the medium-term
Sees limited contagion from recent financial market volatility
Cliff-edge Brexit could have potential to pose a more significant downside risk to financial stability - via forexlive.
Over past 10 days been a measurable change in pace, engagement from both sides to solve problem instead of posturing on brexit
China's exports logged a double-digit growth in September, according to rttnews.
Exports grew 14.5 percent year-on-year in September, faster than the 9.8 percent increase seen in August.
At the same time, imports advanced 14.3 percent annually. As a result, the trade surplus increased to around $32 billion in September.
The big picture is the Chinese exports have so far held up well in the face of escalating trade tensions and cooling global growth, most likely thanks to the competitiveness boost provided by a weaker renminbi, Julian Evans-Pritchard, an economist at Capital Economics, said.
Deal Is Subject to Completion of Ilva Acquisition
Negotiations Still Ongoing for Assets in Belgium, Luxembourg
EUR/USD
Resistance levels (open interest**, contracts)
$1.1748 (1830)
$1.1709 (957)
$1.1676 (115)
Price at time of writing this review: $1.1588
Support levels (open interest**, contracts):
$1.1555 (2686)
$1.1526 (4460)
$1.1493 (3175)
Comments:
- Overall open interest on the CALL options and PUT options with the expiration date November, 19 is 79107 contracts (according to data from October, 11) with the maximum number of contracts with strike price $1,1600 (4460);
GBP/USD
Resistance levels (open interest**, contracts)
$1.3384 (2258)
$1.3351 (1023)
$1.3310 (388)
Price at time of writing this review: $1.3254
Support levels (open interest**, contracts):
$1.3144 (272)
$1.3118 (368)
$1.3088 (713)
Comments:
- Overall open interest on the CALL options with the expiration date November, 19 is 22801 contracts, with the maximum number of contracts with strike price $1,3500 (3537);
- Overall open interest on the PUT options with the expiration date November, 19 is 25807 contracts, with the maximum number of contracts with strike price $1,2900 (2121);
- The ratio of PUT/CALL was 1.13 versus 1.22 from the previous trading day according to data from October, 11
* - The Chicago Mercantile Exchange bulletin (CME) is used for the calculation.
** - Open interest takes into account the total number of option contracts that are open at the moment.
The trend estimate for the total value of dwelling finance commitments excluding alterations and additions fell 0.6%. Owner occupied housing commitments fell 0.2% and investment housing commitments fell 1.2%.
In seasonally adjusted terms, the total value of dwelling finance commitments excluding alterations and additions fell 2.1%.
In trend terms, the number of commitments for owner occupied housing finance fell 0.4% in August 2018.
In trend terms, the number of commitments for the purchase of new dwellings fell 1.9%, the number of commitments for the purchase of established dwellings fell 0.4%, while the number of commitments for the construction of dwellings rose 0.2%.
In original terms, the number of first home buyer commitments as a percentage of total owner occupied housing finance commitments fell to 17.8% in August 2018 from 18.0% in July 2018.
The inflation rate - measured by the consumer price index - thus increased. A higher inflation rate was last recorded in November 2011 (+2.4%). Compared with August 2018, the consumer price index rose by 0.4% in September 2018. The Federal Statistical Office (Destatis) thus confirms its provisional overall results of 27 September 2018.
As in the preceding months, the increase of energy product prices had a considerable effect on the inflation rate. Energy prices rose 7.7% in September 2018 on September 2017. The rate of energy price increase thus increased again (August 2018: +6.9%). In September 2018, the prices of heating oil (+35.6%) and motor fuels (+13.0%), in particular, were higher than a year earlier. While the prices of mineral oil products rose sharply, relatively moderate price developments were observed for other energy products (for example, charges for central and district heating: +2.4%; electricity: +0.9%; gas: -1.5%). Excluding energy prices, the inflation rate would have been +1.6% in September 2018.
Fed Rates Still Below Long-Run Levels
Current Fed Policy Could Allow Inflation to Heat Up
Fed's Job and Inflation Goals Have Largely Been Achieved
Risks to Economic Outlook Are 'Balanced'
Fed Policy Can't Be on Preset Course Right Now
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