CFD Markets News and Forecasts — 08-10-2018

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08.10.2018
23:50
Japan: Current Account, bln, August 1.838 (forecast 1.8966)
22:56
Commodities. Daily history for October 08’ 2018:


Raw materials

Closing price

% change

Oil

$74.21

-0.11%

Gold

$1,193.20

+0.39%

22:39
Stocks. Daily history for October 08’ 2018:


Index

Change items

Closing price

% change

SHANGHAI

-104.84

2716.51

-3.72%

HSI

-370.00

26202.57

-1.39%

ASX 200

-85.20

6100.30

-1.38%

KOSPI

-13.69

2253.83

-0.60%

FTSE 100

-85.21

7233.33

-1.16%

DAX

-164.74

11947.16

-1.36%

CAC 40

-59.11

5300.25

-1.10%

DJIA

+39.73

26486.78

+0.15%

S&P 500

-1.14

2884.43

-0.04%

NASDAQ

-52.50

7735.95

-0.67%

22:32
Currencies. Daily history for October 08’ 2018:


Pare

Closed

% change

EUR/USD

$1,1491

-0,25%

GBP/USD

$1,3090

-0,17%

USD/CHF

Chf0,99227

+0,03%

USD/JPY

Y113,17

-0,46%

EUR/JPY

Y130,04

-0,72%

GBP/JPY

Y148,151

+0,04%

AUD/USD

$0,7077

+0,38%

NZD/USD

$0,6449

+0,14%

USD/CAD

C$1,29513

+0,05%

20:31
Major US stock indexes mainly fell on the basis of today's trading

Major US stock indexes ended trading mostly in the red, which was caused by the fall of technology companies and a muted appetite for stocks after a surge in yields on Treasury bonds last week amid strong economic data.

Recall that the yield on 10-year US government bonds soared to seven-year highs, as strong labor market data heightened concerns that the Fed may begin raising its interest rates at a faster rate than expected.

Oil prices fell moderately, the reason for which was the expectation that part of Iranian oil exports would continue to flow to the market after the introduction of US sanctions, easing the load on supplies. Two companies in India, a major buyer of Iranian oil, ordered barrels in November, the Indian oil minister said.

Most of the components of DOW finished trading in positive territory (18 out of 30). The growth leader was Walgreens Boots Alliance, Inc. (WBA, + 2.26%). Outsider were shares of Visa Inc. (V, -2.39%).

Most sectors of the S & P recorded an increase. The utility sector grew the most (+ 1.1%), while the technological sector showed the largest decline (-1.1%)

At the time of closing:

Dow 26,486.78 +39.73 +0.15%

S & P 500 2,884.43 -1.14 -0.04%

Nasdaq 100 7,735.95 -52.50 -0.67%

19:01
DJIA +0.04% 26,458.92 +11.87 Nasdaq -0.66% 7,737.13 -51.31 S&P -0.07% 2,883.58 -1.99
16:01
European stocks closed: FTSE 100 -85.21 7233.33 -1.16% DAX -164.74 11947.16 -1.36% CAC 40 -59.11 5300.25 -1.10%
14:08
U.S. monitoring developments related to Chinese currency - Bloomberg
  • U.S. concerned about China currency depreciation - treasury

14:07
Investors shouldn't expect a strong dollar to stop pressuring commodities prices anytime soon - Fitch Ratings

Investors shouldn't expect a strong dollar to stop pressuring commodities prices anytime soon, says Brian Coulton, chief economist at Fitch Ratings. Speaking at LME Week, Mr. Coulton said that after 2016, "the rise in commodities prices has net-net been positive for emerging-market growth, excluding China, and a trough in EM growth excluding China correlates to weak commodities prices." Both commodities and non-China EM economies may come under further pressure in the months ahead if the dollar doesn't weaken. "Don't imagine the dollar's strength will fade away anytime soon," Mr. Coulton says - via WSJ.

13:34
U.S. Stocks open: Dow -0.45%, Nasdaq -0.71%, S&P -0.38%
13:23
Before the bell: S&P futures -0.27%, NASDAQ futures -0.35%

U.S. stock-index futures fell on Monday, still reeling from the aftershocks of a climb in the U.S. Treasury yields last week. The focus of investors' attention is gradually shifting to the Q3 earnings season, unofficially kicking off this Friday.


Global Stocks:

Index/commodity

Last

Today's Change, points

Today's Change, %

Nikkei

-

-

-

Hang Seng

26,202.57

-370.00

-1.39%

Shanghai

2,716.51

-104.84

-3.72%

S&P/ASX

6,100.30

-85.20

-1.38%

FTSE

7,266.13

-52.41

-0.72%

CAC

5,307.61

-51.75

-0.97%

DAX

11,996.89

-115.01

-0.95%

Crude

$73.25


-1.47%

Gold

$1,188.90


-1.39%

12:49
Wall Street. Stocks before the bell

(company / ticker / price / change ($/%) / volume)



3M Co

MMM

213.2

0.01(0.00%)

235

ALCOA INC.

AA

40.9

-1.16(-2.76%)

32771

ALTRIA GROUP INC.

MO

62

-0.07(-0.11%)

1492

Amazon.com Inc., NASDAQ

AMZN

1,880.89

-8.76(-0.46%)

51778

Apple Inc.

AAPL

223.64

-0.65(-0.29%)

192795

AT&T Inc

T

34.02

0.03(0.09%)

18651

Barrick Gold Corporation, NYSE

ABX

11.23

-0.24(-2.09%)

31525

Boeing Co

BA

384

-2.47(-0.64%)

11078

Caterpillar Inc

CAT

152.72

-0.59(-0.38%)

2189

Chevron Corp

CVX

124.25

-1.08(-0.86%)

4122

Cisco Systems Inc

CSCO

48.14

0.01(0.02%)

4367

Citigroup Inc., NYSE

C

72.12

-0.30(-0.41%)

11937

Deere & Company, NYSE

DE

155.7

-0.70(-0.45%)

645

Exxon Mobil Corp

XOM

84.7

-0.64(-0.75%)

1134

Facebook, Inc.

FB

156.91

-0.42(-0.27%)

58204

Ford Motor Co.

F

9.13

0.01(0.11%)

36358

Freeport-McMoRan Copper & Gold Inc., NYSE

FCX

13.16

-0.11(-0.83%)

20133

General Electric Co

GE

13.48

0.30(2.28%)

995347

General Motors Company, NYSE

GM

34.04

-0.08(-0.23%)

2174

Google Inc.

GOOG

1,153.50

-3.85(-0.33%)

2315

Hewlett-Packard Co.

HPQ

25.22

-0.12(-0.47%)

980

Home Depot Inc

HD

196.38

-0.00(-0.00%)

1310

Intel Corp

INTC

47.09

0.06(0.13%)

26745

International Business Machines Co...

IBM

148.31

-0.72(-0.48%)

5324

International Paper Company

IP

48.94

0.16(0.33%)

979

Johnson & Johnson

JNJ

138.85

-0.25(-0.18%)

550

JPMorgan Chase and Co

JPM

114.41

-0.21(-0.18%)

2670

Microsoft Corp

MSFT

112.04

-0.09(-0.08%)

30928

Nike

NKE

80.03

-0.09(-0.11%)

2269

Pfizer Inc

PFE

44.85

-0.06(-0.13%)

3633

Procter & Gamble Co

PG

82.01

-0.14(-0.17%)

4091

Tesla Motors, Inc., NASDAQ

TSLA

264.26

2.31(0.88%)

98268

The Coca-Cola Co

KO

46

0.12(0.26%)

485

Twitter, Inc., NYSE

TWTR

28.4

0.01(0.04%)

17858

UnitedHealth Group Inc

UNH

268.94

-0.26(-0.10%)

139

Verizon Communications Inc

VZ

55

0.06(0.11%)

4666

Visa

V

145.31

-0.05(-0.03%)

7653

Wal-Mart Stores Inc

WMT

93.25

-0.06(-0.06%)

3716

Yandex N.V., NASDAQ

YNDX

31.99

-0.44(-1.36%)

9797

12:44
Upgrades before the market open

General Electric (GE) upgraded to Overweight from Equal Weight at Barclays

12:22
Thomson Reuters Outlines Steps To Complete The Return Of US$10 Billion To Shareholders And Announces Dividend Increase

  • $6.5B Returned Under Substantial Issuer Bid/tender Offer

  • $2.5B Return of Cap and Shr Consolidation Expected to Be Completed in Nov

  • Plans to Maintain $2B of Cash on Its Balance Sheet to Fund Focused Acquisitions

  • Raises Dividend to 35c

  • Has Purchased for Cancellation 138M Common Shrs at a Purchase Price of $47.00 a Shr

11:37
UK PM May's spokesman: Northern Ireland backstop proposal will be published in due course, he does not have precise date
10:30
Fed’s Bullard: Emerging Markets Are As Prepared As They Can Be For Changes In US Monetary Policy @LiveSquawk
09:13
Italy’s Deputy PM Salvini: Enemies Of Europe Are Juncker And Moscovici @LiveSquawk

  • Citizens Looked Beyond Bond Spread When They Vote

  • Focus With Le Pen On Putting Jobs First

08:38
The Sentix overall index for the economy in Euro Area fell again slightly in October from 12.0 to 11.4 points

  • Uncertainties about the fiscal policy stance in Italy and the automobile industry in Germany are depressing the sentiment, although this is not reflected in the German economic data.

  • By international standards, the US economy remains strong. The assessment of the situation rises to an all-time high and raises investors' expectations of rising inflation rates and a restrictive central bank policy. Japan is at-tracting attention with a clear rise in the situation and expectations.

The economic development in the individual regions of the world continues to be uneven. Overall, however, the current assessments of the approximately 1,000 investors surveyed by sentix remain relatively relaxed. This is due not insignificantly to the very good assessment of the US economy, where we are once again measuring an all-time high in the current situation index. This is increasingly causing inflation fears among investors, which in turn should prompt the central banks to continue their restrictive monetary policy. This also seems to be one of the reasons why the majority of expectation indices remain slightly negative.

07:52
Chinese Finance Minister: China will adopt a more active financial policy

The Chinese Finance Minister said the country will adopt a more active financial policy, but it will not resort to a stream of strong stimulus policies, Xinhua reported.

Finance Minister Liu said that fiscal policy needs to be more forward-looking, flexible and efficient in order to play a larger role in boosting demand, restructuring the economy and promoting quality development.

Liu said that proactive financial policies will give priority to four sectors: reducing taxes and fees, improving weak ties, encouraging consumption and improving people's livelihoods.

In addition to the policy aimed at reducing taxes and fees, announced at the beginning of the year, China announced an increase in support for the real economy and technological innovation, which will help reduce the burden on enterprises by more than 1.3 trillion yuan (about $ 188.4 billion) this year.

He said that the ministry is working on more extensive measures to reduce taxes and fees, which, if implemented, will lead to the fact that the growth of budget revenues will remain low in the coming months.

The country's budget revenues rose in August by 4% year on year to 1.11 trillion yuan, slowing down from a 6.1 percent increase in July.

With the growth of the economy on a sustainable basis and an increase in tax revenues, China lowered the target budget deficit for 2018 to 2.6% of GDP, which is 0.4 percentage points less than in 2017.

07:45
FTSE -1.70 7316.84 -0.02% DAX -40.10 12071.80 -0.33% CAC -16.59 5342.77 -0.31%
06:52
EU commission says targets in Italy budget plan are a source of "serious concern" - letter in Italian media - Reuters
06:51
Futures: DAX 0,0% FTSE -0,1% CAC 40 -0,1%
06:51
China Cuts Reserve Ratio, Releases 1.2 Trillion Yuan Amid Rising Trade War, Record Defaults - zerohedge
06:19
Chinese business activity expanded modestly at the end of the third quarter

The latest Caixin China Composite PMI data (which covers both manufacturing and services) showed that Chinese business activity expanded modestly at the end of the third quarter. At 52.1 in September, the Composite Output Index was little-changed from August's reading of 52.0, to signal that the rate of activity growth remained lacklustre compared to that seen earlier in 2018.

Latest data indicated that an improved service sector performance was broadly offset by softer manufacturing growth. Notably, the seasonally adjusted Caixin China General Services Business Activity Index picked up from 51.5 in August to 53.1, to signal the strongest increase in activity for three months. In contrast, manufacturing production rose at a marginal pace that was the weakest since October 2017

06:13
Swiss unemployment rate declined 0.1% to 2.5% in September, as expected

According to SECO surveys, at the end of September 2018, 106,586 unemployed people were enrolled in the Regional Employment Centers (RAV), 1,307 less than in the previous month. The unemployment rate remained at 2.4% in the month under review. Compared with the same month of the previous year, unemployment fell by 26,583 (-20.0%). Youth unemployment in September 2018 Youth unemployment (aged 15-24) decreased by 774 (-5.3%) to 13,724. Compared to the same month last year, this represents a decline of 3,985 people (-22.5%).

06:11
German industrial production down 0.3% in August

In August 2018, production in industry was down by 0.3% from the previous month on a price, seasonally and calendar adjusted basis according to provisional data of the Federal Statistical Office (Destatis). In July 2018, the revised figure shows a decrease of 1.3% (primary -1.1%) from June 2018.

In August 2018, production in industry excluding energy and construction was down by 0.1%. Within industry, the production of capital goods decreased by 0.7%.The production of consumer goods was up by 1.4% and the production of intermediate goods showed an increase of 0.1%. Energy production was up by 1.3% in July 2018 and the production in construction decreased by 1.8%.

06:06
Brexit deal '90% agreed', says Ireland's deputy PM Simon Coveney - Sky
06:00
Germany: Industrial Production s.a. (MoM), August -0.3% (forecast 0.4%)
05:45
Switzerland: Unemployment Rate (non s.a.), September 2.4% (forecast 2.4%)
05:16
Options levels on monday, October 8, 2018 EURUSD GBPUSD

EUR/USD

Resistance levels (open interest**, contracts)

$1.1676 (560)

$1.1657 (408)

$1.1630 (88)

Price at time of writing this review: $1.1514

Support levels (open interest**, contracts):

$1.1463 (2966)

$1.1431 (2616)

$1.1397 (2519)


Comments:

- Overall open interest on the CALL options and PUT options with the expiration date November, 19 is 68719 contracts (according to data from October, 5) with the maximum number of contracts with strike price $1,1600 (4478);


GBP/USD

Resistance levels (open interest**, contracts)

$1.3277 (983)

$1.3243 (777)

$1.3206 (314)

Price at time of writing this review: $1.3114

Support levels (open interest**, contracts):

$1.2975 (1738)

$1.2943 (1680)

$1.2909 (1986)


Comments:

- Overall open interest on the CALL options with the expiration date November, 19 is 18714 contracts, with the maximum number of contracts with strike price $1,3500 (2254);

- Overall open interest on the PUT options with the expiration date November, 19 is 23569 contracts, with the maximum number of contracts with strike price $1,2850 (2041);

- The ratio of PUT/CALL was 1.26 versus 1.38 from the previous trading day according to data from October, 5.

* - The Chicago Mercantile Exchange bulletin (CME) is used for the calculation.

** - Open interest takes into account the total number of option contracts that are open at the moment.

01:45
China: Markit/Caixin Services PMI, September 53.1 (forecast 51.4)
00:31
Australia: ANZ Job Advertisements (MoM), September 0.8%

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