CFD Markets News and Forecasts — 06-11-2018

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06.11.2018
23:55
Commodities. Daily history for November 06’ 2018:


Raw materials

Closing price

% change

Oil

$61.78

-0.69%

Gold

$1,232.50

+0.51%

23:51
Stocks. Daily history for November 06’ 2018:



Index

Change items

Closing price

% change

Nikkei

+248.76

22147.75

+1.14%

SHANGHAI

-6.07

2659.36

-0.23%

ASX 200

+57.10

5875.20

+0.98%

FTSE 100

-63.16

7040.68

-0.89%

DAX

-10.62

11484.34

-0.09%

CAC 40

-26.20

5075.19

-0.51%

DJIA

+173.31

25635.01

+0.68%

S&P 500

+17.14

2755.45

+0.63%

NASDAQ

+47.11

7375.97

+0.64%

23:30
Currencies. Daily history for November 06’ 2018:


Pare

Closed

% change

EUR/USD

$1,1426

+0,17%

GBP/USD

$1,3105

+0,48%

USD/CHF

Chf1,00243

-0,19%

USD/JPY

Y113,43

+0,22%

EUR/JPY

Y129,63

+0,39%

GBP/JPY

Y148,677

+0,71%

AUD/USD

$0,7244

+0,47%

NZD/USD

$0,6735

+1,07%

USD/CAD

C$1,31241

+0,12%

22:30
Schedule for today, Wednesday, November 7, 2018
Time Country Event Period Previous value Forecast
00:00 Japan Labor Cash Earnings, YoY September 0.9%  
03:00 New Zealand Expected Annual Inflation 2y from now Quarter IV 1.86%  
05:00 Japan Leading Economic Index September 104.5 103.9
05:00 Japan Coincident Index September 116.7  
07:00 Germany Industrial Production s.a. (MoM) September -0.3% 0.1%
08:00 Switzerland Foreign Currency Reserves October 740  
08:30 United Kingdom Halifax house price index October -1.4% 0.3%
08:30 United Kingdom Halifax house price index 3m Y/Y October 2.5% 1.2%
10:00 Eurozone Retail Sales (YoY) September 1.8% 0.7%
10:00 Eurozone Retail Sales (MoM) September -0.2% 0.1%
15:00 Canada Ivey Purchasing Managers Index October 50.4 50.9
15:30 U.S. Crude Oil Inventories November 3.217 2.05
20:00 U.S. Consumer Credit September 20.08 16.5
20:00 New Zealand RBNZ Interest Rate Decision 1.75% 1.75%
20:00 New Zealand RBNZ Rate Statement    
21:00 New Zealand RBNZ Press Conference    
23:50 Japan Current Account, bln September 1.838 1772.6
23:50 Japan Core Machinery Orders, y/y September 12.6% 7.7%
23:50 Japan Core Machinery Orders September 6.8% -10%
22:29
Australia: AiG Performance of Construction Index, October 46.4
21:45
New Zealand: Employment Change, q/q, Quarter III 1.1% (forecast 0.5%)
21:45
New Zealand: Unemployment Rate, Quarter III 3.9% (forecast 4.5%)
21:13
Major US stock indexes finished trading above zero

Major US stock indices rose moderately, helped by strong quarterly reports and a rebound in the technology sector after a two-day sell-off.

Investors were also preparing for the results of the mid-term elections in the United States. In the United States they will completely re-elect the House of Representatives (435 members) and partly the Senate (35 senators will be re-elected), as well as 36 state governors and dozens of other legislators will be elected, this can lead to significant changes in the alignment of political forces in US legislative power. Now the Republican Party, with a small margin, has a majority in both houses of Congress. If the Democrats regain a majority in one or both houses of Congress, they will be able to block the reforms carried out by the Trump administration. At the same time, if the Democratic Party regains a majority in Congress, it will not be able to fully implement its policy, since the president has the right of veto, and his term of office ends only in 2020.

Some attention was also attracted by data on the United States. The vacancy and labor turnover survey published by the US Bureau of Labor Statistics showed that in September, the number of vacancies fell to 7.009 million from 7.293 million in August (revised from 7.136 million). Analysts had expected the number of vacancies to fall to 7.1 million. The level of vacancies fell by 0.2%, and amounted to 4.5%. The number of vacancies decreased in the private sector (-188,000), and fell in the government sphere (-96,000).

Most of the components of DOW finished trading in positive territory (21 out of 30). The growth leader was the shares of International Business Machines Corporation (IBM, + 2.52%). Pfizer Inc. shares turned out to be an outsider. (PFE, -1.47%).

Almost all sectors of the S & P showed an increase. The industrial goods sector grew the most (+ 0.8%). Only the base materials sector decreased (-0.1%)

At the time of closing:

Index

Dow 25,635.01 +173.31 +0.68%

S & P 500 2,755.50 +17.19 +0.63%

Nasdaq 100 7,375.96 +47.11 +0.64%

20:50
Schedule for tomorrow, Wednesday, November 7, 2018
Time Country Event Period Previous value Forecast
00:00 Japan Labor Cash Earnings, YoY September 0.9%  
03:00 New Zealand Expected Annual Inflation 2y from now Quarter IV 1.86%  
05:00 Japan Leading Economic Index September 104.5 103.9
05:00 Japan Coincident Index September 116.7  
07:00 Germany Industrial Production s.a. (MoM) September -0.3% 0.1%
08:00 Switzerland Foreign Currency Reserves October 740  
08:30 United Kingdom Halifax house price index October -1.4% 0.3%
08:30 United Kingdom Halifax house price index 3m Y/Y October 2.5% 1.2%
10:00 Eurozone Retail Sales (YoY) September 1.8% 0.7%
10:00 Eurozone Retail Sales (MoM) September -0.2% 0.1%
15:00 Canada Ivey Purchasing Managers Index October 50.4 50.9
15:30 U.S. Crude Oil Inventories November 3.217 2.05
20:00 U.S. Consumer Credit September 20.08 16.5
20:00 New Zealand RBNZ Interest Rate Decision 1.75% 1.75%
20:00 New Zealand RBNZ Rate Statement    
21:00 New Zealand RBNZ Press Conference    
23:50 Japan Current Account, bln September 1.838 1772.6
23:50 Japan Core Machinery Orders, y/y September 12.6% 7.7%
23:50 Japan Core Machinery Orders September 6.8% -10%
20:00
DJIA +0.32% 25,542.60 +80.90 Nasdaq +0.19% 7,342.73 +13.88 S&P +0.22% 2,744.41 +6.10
17:02
European stocks closed: FTSE 100 -63.16 7040.68 -0.89% DAX -10.62 11484.34 -0.09% CAC 40 -26.20 5075.19 -0.51%
15:05
U.S job openings decreased to 7.0 million on the last business day of September

The number of job openings decreased to 7.0 million on the last business day of September, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. Over the month, hires and separations were both little changed at 5.7 million. Within separations, the quits rate was unchanged at 2.4 percent and the layoffs
and discharges rate was little changed at 1.1 percent. This release includes estimates of the number and rate of job openings, hires, and separations for the nonfarm sector by industry and by four geographic regions.


15:00
U.S.: JOLTs Job Openings, September 7.009 (forecast 7.1)
14:32
U.S. Stocks open: Dow +0.01%, Nasdaq -0.02%, S&P 0.00%
14:19
Before the bell: S&P futures -0.17%, NASDAQ futures -0.27%

U.S. stock-index futures traded slightly lower on Tuesday, as investors remained cautious, awaiting the outcomes of the U.S. midterm elections, which could impact the future of Donald Trump’s presidency as well as his tax and trade policies.


Global Stocks:

Index/commodity

Last

Today's Change, points

Today's Change, %

Nikkei

22,147.75

+248.76

+1.14%

Hang Seng

26,120.96

+186.57

+0.72%

Shanghai

2,659.36

-6.07

-0.23%

S&P/ASX

5,875.20

+57.10

+0.98%

FTSE

7,030.68

-73.16

-1.03%

CAC

5,073.91

-27.48

-0.54%

DAX

11,459.56

-35.40

-0.31%

Crude

$63.08


-0.03%

Gold

$1,235.00


+0.22%

13:53
Canadian municipalities issued $8.1 billion worth of building permits in September, up 0.4% from August

The national increase was driven by higher construction intentions in Quebec.

The value of building permits in the non-residential sector was up 0.6% to $3.1 billion in September, due to higher construction intentions for institutional buildings.

In the institutional component, the value of building permits rose 16.4% from August to $806 million. The increase in the value of permits mainly stemmed from post-secondary institutions and nursing homes. Six provinces reported gains, led by Quebec.

In the commercial component, $1.7 billion worth of permits were issued in September, down 3.3% from the previous month. Permits for office buildings accounted for the majority of the decline. Five provinces reported decreases, with the largest drop in British Columbia.

The value of building permits in the industrial component fell 5.7% to $636 million. Five provinces reported declines, with the most significant decreases in Quebec and British Columbia.


13:42
Wall Street. Stocks before the bell

Wall Street. Stocks before the bell

(company / ticker / price / change ($/%) / volume)


ALTRIA GROUP INC.

MO

64.5

-0.13(-0.20%)

2409

Amazon.com Inc., NASDAQ

AMZN

1,616.00

-11.80(-0.72%)

22126

Apple Inc.

AAPL

200.95

-0.64(-0.32%)

175366

AT&T Inc

T

30.76

0.13(0.42%)

5778

Barrick Gold Corporation, NYSE

ABX

13.25

0.04(0.30%)

49500

Caterpillar Inc

CAT

126.94

0.53(0.42%)

1022

Chevron Corp

CVX

118.52

-0.42(-0.35%)

2057

Cisco Systems Inc

CSCO

46.25

0.11(0.24%)

1813

Citigroup Inc., NYSE

C

67.17

-0.13(-0.19%)

1742

Exxon Mobil Corp

XOM

81.16

-0.48(-0.59%)

688

Facebook, Inc.

FB

148.24

-0.44(-0.30%)

16404

Ford Motor Co.

F

9.49

-0.04(-0.42%)

20422

Freeport-McMoRan Copper & Gold Inc., NYSE

FCX

12.24

0.02(0.16%)

3689

General Electric Co

GE

9.31

0.03(0.32%)

271763

General Motors Company, NYSE

GM

36.2

-0.05(-0.14%)

4288

Home Depot Inc

HD

182.25

0.06(0.03%)

111

Intel Corp

INTC

47.72

0.05(0.10%)

16472

International Business Machines Co...

IBM

120.8

0.74(0.62%)

17083

Microsoft Corp

MSFT

107.21

-0.30(-0.28%)

15796

Starbucks Corporation, NASDAQ

SBUX

64.5

0.02(0.03%)

7131

Tesla Motors, Inc., NASDAQ

TSLA

340

-1.40(-0.41%)

19396

UnitedHealth Group Inc

UNH

260.98

-0.03(-0.01%)

333

Visa

V

139.5

-0.30(-0.21%)

478

Yandex N.V., NASDAQ

YNDX

30.28

0.10(0.33%)

25704

13:33
Analyst coverage initiations before the market open

Yandex N.V. (YNDX) initiated with a Buy at HSBC

13:30
Canada: Building Permits (MoM) , September 0.4% (forecast 0.4%)
11:08
The FTSE 100 Index falls 0.1%, or 7.69 points to 7096.15 as losses for William Morrison Supermarkets outweigh gains for precious metal miners after gold and silver prices rise

  • Shares in Morrisons top the FTSE 100 fallers, down 4.9% after the U.K. grocer's third-quarter sales fell short of market hopes.

10:02
Industrial producer prices rose by 0.5% in the euro area (EA19) and by 0.6% in the EU28 m/m

In September 2018, compared with August 2018, industrial producer prices rose by 0.5% in the euro area (EA19) and by 0.6% in the EU28, according to estimates from Eurostat, the statistical office of the European Union. In August 2018, prices increased by 0.4% in both zones. In September 2018, compared with September 2017, industrial producer prices rose by 4.5% in the euro area and by 4.9% in the EU28.

Industrial producer prices in the euro area in September 2018, compared with August 2018, rose by 1.6% in the energy sector and by 0.1% for intermediated goods, while prices remained stable for capital goods and for durable and non-durable consumer goods. Prices in total industry excluding energy rose by 0.1%.

10:00
Eurozone: Producer Price Index (YoY), September 4.5% (forecast 4.2%)
10:00
Eurozone: Producer Price Index, MoM , September 0.5% (forecast 0.4%)
09:14
October saw the euro area economy expand at its slowest rate for more than two years

October saw the euro area economy expand at its slowest rate for more than two years, according to the final IHS Markit Eurozone PMI Composite Output Index. Despite coming in higher than the earlier flash estimate of 52.7, October’s final reading of 53.1 was down from the previous month’s 54.1 to the lowest since September 2016.

Chris Williamson, Chief Business Economist at IHS Markit said: “Eurozone companies reported a disappointing start to the fourth quarter. Business activity is growing at its slowest rate for over two years and expectations have slumped to the bleakest since the end of 2014. “An export-led slowdown, linked to growing trade tensions and tariffs, has been exacerbated by rising political uncertainty, growing risk aversion and tightening financial conditions. The slowdown has consequently become more broad-based to increasingly envelop the services economy. “While the PMI numbers hint at an upward revision to the 0.2% flash estimate of third quarter GDP growth, it’s clear that the economy has slowed and that the weakness has intensified into the fourth quarter”.

09:00
Eurozone: Services PMI, October 53.1 (forecast 53.3)
08:57
Germany’s service sector saw business activity growth ease to a three-month low in October

The pace of expansion nevertheless remained robust, and job creation continued to run at one of the quickest rates seen over the past 11 years. Business confidence, however, was at its lowest in nearly two years, reflecting concerns over signs of a slowdown in economic growth, rising global uncertainties and skill shortages.

The headline seasonally adjusted final IHS Markit Germany Services PMI Business Activity Index registered 54.7 in October, down from September’s eight-month high of 55.9 and its lowest reading since July (but above the earlier ‘flash’ estimate of 53.6). The index was above its long-run average and signalled the continuation of a record sequence of growth that began in mid-2013.

08:56
France Services Business Activity Index rose from 54.8 in September to 55.3 in October

The headline seasonally adjusted IHS Markit France Services Business Activity Index rose from 54.8 in September to 55.3 in October. The latest sharp increase extended the current run of expansion to 28 months. Panellists often mentioned strong demand conditions when explaining business activity growth. Meanwhile, the seasonally adjusted IHS Markit France Composite Output Index, a GDP-weighted average of the Manufacturing Output Index and the Services Business Activity Index registered 54.1, up slightly from a 21-month low of 54.0 in September.

08:55
Germany: Services PMI, October 54.7 (forecast 53.6)
08:50
France: Services PMI, October 55.3 (forecast 55.6)
08:27
FTSE +1.61 7105.45 +0.02% DAX +31.43 11526.39 +0.27% CAC +5.98 5107.37 +0.12%
08:20
Spain’s service sector expanded at a firmer rate during October - Markit

The headline seasonally adjusted Business Activity Index recorded a level of 54.0 in October. That was an improvement on the previous month’s 52.5 and represented the strongest growth since June. Activity has now increased in each month throughout the past five years.

Commenting on the PMI data, Paul Smith, Economics Director at IHS Markit said: “Following earlier data showing the stabilisation of the manufacturing economy, there was also a welcome upturn in service sector activity during October, raising hopes that the recent slide in economic growth has been arrested. “Overall composite output subsequently increased at the best rate since June and suggests that GDP growth is tracking at a level of around 0.5% at the start of the fourth quarter. “Such an increase in GDP would be a decent level of growth heading into 2019, especially as downside risks to the outlook are building. Indeed, private sector business confidence slipped to its lowest level in over five years during October as the global economic environment turns increasingly chilly.”

07:45
Futures: DAX +0,4% FTSE +0,1% CAC +0,4%

A positive start to trading on European stock exchanges is expected, following slightly positive tones on Wall Street and on Asian markets - with the exception of China. The risk is contained, but it all comes down to how the elections in the United States will be held over the next 48 hours.

07:43
The Times announces that the European Union will offer border compromise in Brexit boost for PM Theresa May
07:31
Reserve Bank of Australia holds the interest rate at 1.50%, as expected. Says low rates support the economy

  • Progress in unemployment and inflation is expected to be gradual

  • Housing markets slowed down in Sydney and Melbourne

  • Lending conditions are tougher than they have been for some time

  • GDP growth is slightly revised for 2018 and 2019

  • Australian dollar remains in the range of the last two years

  • GDP growth will average 3.5% in 2018 and 2019, but slow down in 2020

  • The central inflation scenario is 2.25% in 2019, a higher one in 2020

  • Positive business conditions

  • Public infrastructure investments support the economy

  • Household consumption is a source of uncertainty.

  • Labor market outlook remains positive

  • Wage growth remains low, expect further growth over time

  • A further gradual reduction in unemployment is expected to 4.75% in 2020

07:20
German factory orders up 0.3% in September

Based on provisional data, the Federal Statistical Office (Destatis) reports that price-adjusted new orders in manufacturing had increased in September 2018 a seasonally and calendar adjusted 0.3% on the previous month. For August 2018, revision of the preliminary outcome resulted in an increase of 2.5% compared with July 2018 (primary +2.0%). Price-adjusted new orders without major orders in manufacturing had decreased in September 2018 a seasonally and calendar adjusted 1.6% on the previous month.

Domestic orders increased by 2.8% and foreign orders decreased by 1.4% in September 2018 on the previous month. New orders from the euro area were up 2.4%, new orders from other countries decreased 3.7% compared to August 2018.

In September 2018 the manufacturers of intermediate goods saw new orders fall by 1.7% compared with August 2018. The manufacturers of capital goods showed increases of 1.4% on the previous month. For consumer goods, an increase in new orders of 2.1% was recorded.


07:00
Germany: Factory Orders s.a. (MoM), September 0.3% (forecast -0.6%)
05:56
Options levels on monday, November 6, 2018 EURUSD GBPUSD

EUR/USD

Resistance levels (open interest**, contracts)

$1.1528 (3024)

$1.1500 (1884)

$1.1480 (2286)

Price at time of writing this review: $1.1403

Support levels (open interest**, contracts):

$1.1375 (4182)

$1.1337 (3950)

$1.1293 (3191)


Comments:

- Overall open interest on the CALL options and PUT options with the expiration date November, 19 is 95086 contracts (according to data from November, 5) with the maximum number of contracts with strike price $1,1450 (4612);


GBP/USD

Resistance levels (open interest**, contracts)

$1.3223 (2508)

$1.3155 (1358)

$1.3112 (1229)

Price at time of writing this review: $1.3049

Support levels (open interest**, contracts):

$1.2996 (2480)

$1.2964 (3341)

$1.2927 (1340)


Comments:

- Overall open interest on the CALL options with the expiration date November, 19 is 27836 contracts, with the maximum number of contracts with strike price $1,3500 (3172);

- Overall open interest on the PUT options with the expiration date November, 19 is 33481 contracts, with the maximum number of contracts with strike price $1,3000 (3341);

- The ratio of PUT/CALL was 1.20 versus 1.12 from the previous trading day according to data from November, 5

* - The Chicago Mercantile Exchange bulletin (CME) is used for the calculation.

** - Open interest takes into account the total number of option contracts that are open at the moment.

03:30
Australia: Announcement of the RBA decision on the discount rate, 1.5% (forecast 1.5%)
00:46
Commodities. Daily history for November 05’ 2018:


Raw materials

Closing price

% change

Oil

$62.89

-6.95%

Gold

$1,232.60

-0.06%


00:22
Stocks. Daily history for November 05’ 2018:


Index

Change items

Closing price

% change

Nikkei

-344.67

21898.99

-1.55%

SHANGHAI

-11.05

2665.43

-0.41%

ASX 200

-31.10

5818.10

-0.53%

FTSE 100

+9.72

7103.84

+0.14%

DAX

-24.03

11494.96

-0.21%

CAC 40

-0.74

5101.39

-0.01%

DJIA

+190.87

25461.70

-0.43%

S&P 500

-17.31

2723.06

+0.76%

NASDAQ

+15.25

2738.31

+0.56%

00:03
Currencies. Daily history for November 05’ 2018:


Pare

Closed

% change

EUR/USD

$1,1407

+0,16%

GBP/USD

$1,3042

+0,56%

USD/CHF

Chf1,00433

+0,09%

USD/JPY

Y113,19

-0,01%

EUR/JPY

Y129,12

+0,16%

GBP/JPY

Y147,62

+0,55%

AUD/USD

$0,7209

+0,17%

NZD/USD

$0,6663

+0,24%

USD/CAD

C$1,31088

0,19%

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