CFD Markets News and Forecasts — 04-07-2018

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04.07.2018
22:32
Commodities. Daily history for July 04’2018:


Raw materials

Closing price

% change

Oil

74.16

+0.03%

Gold

1,257.90

+0.35%

22:31
Stocks. Daily history for July 04’2018:


Index

Change items

Closing price

% change

Nikkei

-68.50

21717.04

-0.31%

TOPIX

+0.45

1693.25

+0.03%

Hang Seng

-303.90

28241.67

-1.06%

CSI 300

-45.53

3363.75

-1.34%

Euro Stoxx 50

+5.69

3412.03

+0.17%

FTSE 100

-20.20

7573.09

-0.27%

DAX

-31.53

12317.61

-0.26%

CAC 40

+3.73

5320.50

+0.07%

22:29
Currencies. Daily history for July 04’2018:


Pare

Closed

% change

EUR/USD

$1,1655

-0,02%

GBP/USD

$1,3229

+0,29%

USD/CHF

Chf0,99231

+0,02%

USD/JPY

Y110,44

-0,12%

EUR/JPY

Y128,71

-0,16%

GBP/JPY

Y146,102

+0,17%

AUD/USD

$0,7381

-0,02%

NZD/USD

$0,6764

+0,13%

USD/CAD

C$1,31407

-0,02%

21:53
Schedule for today, Thursday, July 05’2018 (GMT+3)


Time

A country


Index


Period

Previous value

Forecast

09:00

Germany

Factory Orders s.a. (MoM)

May

-2.5%

1.1%

10:15

Switzerland

Consumer Price Index (MoM)

June

0.4%

-0.1%

10:15

Switzerland

Consumer Price Index (YoY

June

1%

1.1%

13:00

United Kingdom

BOE Gov Mark Carney Speaks




14:15

Germany

German Buba President Weidmann Speaks




15:15

Eurozone

ECB's Yves Mersch Speaks




15:15

USA

ADP Employment Report

June

178

190

15:30

USA

Continuing Jobless Claims

June

1705

1720

15:30

USA

Initial Jobless Claims

June

227

225

16:45

USA

Services PMI

June

56.8

56.5

17:00

USA

ISM Non-Manufacturing

June

58.6

58.3

18:00

USA

Crude Oil Inventories

June

-9.891

-3.267

21:00

USA

FOMC meeting minutes




Информационно-аналитический отдел TeleTrade

16:00
European stocks closed: FTSE 100 -20.20 7573.09 -0.27% DAX -31.53 12317.61 -0.26% CAC 40 +3.73 5320.50 +0.07%
08:36
Today’s U.S trading session will be slim, U.S banks will be closed in observance of Independence Day
08:35
UK service providers indicated the fastest expansion of business activity for eight months in June - Markit

UK service providers indicated the fastest expansion of business activity for eight months in June, which continued the recovery in growth seen since March's snow-related disruption. The latest upturn in service sector output was supported by the strongest increase in new work since May 2017.

The seasonally adjusted IHS Markit/CIPS UK Services PMI Business Activity Index posted 55.1 in June, up from 54.0 in May, to remain above the 50.0 no-change mark for the twenty-third consecutive month. Moreover, the latest reading signalled the strongest rate of expansion since October 2017. Survey respondents commented on a general upturn in client demand, particularly for business and financial services. There were also reports that unusually favourable weather conditions had boosted consumer spending.

08:30
United Kingdom: Purchasing Manager Index Services, June 55.1 (forecast 54)
08:07
The final euro zone composite PMI posted 54.9 in June, up from 54.1 in May

The eurozone economy regained some traction at the end of the second quarter. Rates of expansion in output and new business accelerated, although failed to fully recover the momentum lost earlier in the year. The main impetus was provided by the services economy, which saw growth accelerate to a four-month high, offsetting a further waning in the pace of increase in manufacturing production.

The final IHS Markit Eurozone PMI Composite Output Index posted 54.9 in June, up from 54.1 in May and the earlier flash estimate of 54.8. However, the average reading over the second quarter as a whole (54.7) was the weakest registered since the final quarter of 2016.

08:02
German services PMI higher than expected in June

The seasonally adjusted final IHS Markit Germany Services PMI Business Activity Index registered 54.5 in June. This represented a notable rebound from a 20-month low of 52.1 in May, when business activity had been affected by the timing of public holidays, and also an improvement on the 'flash' estimate (53.9). The latest reading signalled the strongest rate of growth since February, but one that was still well below the highs seen at the start of the year.

08:00
Eurozone: Services PMI, June 55.2 (forecast 55)
08:00
French private sector expansion picked up in June

The headline seasonally adjusted IHS Markit France Services Business Activity Index registered 55.9 in June, up from May's 16-month low of 54.3. However, the latest reading signalled that business activity growth remained slower than seen on average in 2017. Some survey respondents noted that softer business investment among clients had acted as a headwind to growth.

Trevor Balchin, Economics Director at IHS Markit which compiles the France Services PMI® survey, said: "French private sector expansion picked up in June, driven by a rebound in the services sector that more than offset a further slowdown in manufacturing output growth. Services activity has now outpaced goods production for the fifth month in a row".

07:55
Germany: Services PMI, June 54.5 (forecast 53.9)
07:50
France: Services PMI, June 55.9 (forecast 56.4)
07:49
FTSE -22.49 7570.80 -0.30% DAX -24.11 12325.03 -0.20% CAC -4.74 5312.03 -0.09%
07:18
The Spanish service sector remained well inside growth territory during June - Markit

The Spanish service sector remained well inside growth territory during June, despite rates of expansion in activity and new business easing slightly from May. Employment continued to rise at one of the fastest rates in the past 11 years.

Meanwhile, the rate of input cost inflation accelerated to the steepest in almost a decade on the back of higher costs for fuel and staff. Output prices also increased, albeit modestly.

The headline seasonally adjusted Business Activity Index posted 55.4 in June, down slightly from 56.4 in May but still pointing to a marked monthly increase in service sector business activity.

06:18
Futures: Eurostoxx -0,2% DAX -0,3% FTSE -0,1% CAC 40 -0,2%
06:07
Australian retail turnover rose 0.4 per cent in May

Australian retail turnover rose 0.4 per cent in May 2018, seasonally adjusted, according to the latest Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS) Retail Trade figures.

This follows a 0.5 per cent rise in April 2018.

"Department stores (3.9 per cent) led the rises," said Ben James, Director of Quarterly Economy Wide Surveys. "There was also a strong result in clothing, footwear and personal accessories, which rose 2.2 per cent. Both industries were able to rebound after unusually warm weather impacted April sales."

There were also rises in food (0.3 per cent) and household goods (0.1 per cent). Cafes, restaurants and takeaways led the falls (-1.0 per cent), whilst other retailing also fell (-0.1 per cent).

06:05
China services business activity continued to expand at the end of the second quarter

Latest Caixin China Composite PMI data (which covers both manufacturing and services) showed that Chinese business activity continued to expand at the end of the second quarter. Notably, the Composite Output Index rose from 52.3 to 53.0 in June, to signal a solid rate of growth that was the steepest recorded since February.

The improvement in the headline Composite Output Index was supported by stronger growth across both the manufacturing and service sectors. Services activity expanded at the quickest rate for four months in June, as highlighted by the seasonally adjusted Caixin China General Services Business Activity Index rising from 52.9 in May to 53.9.

06:03
Australian trade balance surplus lower than expected in May

In trend terms, the balance on goods and services was a surplus of $1,056m in May 2018, an increase of $83m on the surplus in April 2018.

In seasonally adjusted terms, the balance on goods and services was a surplus of $827m in May 2018, an increase of $355m on the surplus in April 2018.

In seasonally adjusted terms, goods and services credits rose $1,353m (4%) to $35,562m. Non-rural goods rose $938m (4%) and non-monetary gold rose $343m (22%). Rural goods fell $4m. Net exports of goods under merchanting remained steady at $4m. Services credits rose $75m (1%).

06:00
BoJ's Harada: Fully Possible To Weaken Degree Of Monetary Easing Before CPI Exceeds 2% - Reuters
05:45
Options levels on wednesday, July 4, 2018 EURUSD GBPUSD

EUR/USD

Resistance levels (open interest**, contracts)

$1.1769 (3579)

$1.1743 (2016)

$1.1720 (1134)

Price at time of writing this review: $1.1668

Support levels (open interest**, contracts):

$1.1637 (2949)

$1.1594 (2621)

$1.1547 (4446)


Comments:

- Overall open interest on the CALL options and PUT options with the expiration date July, 9 is 101542 contracts (according to data from July, 3) with the maximum number of contracts with strike price $1,1550 (4446);


GBP/USD

Resistance levels (open interest**, contracts)

$1.3356 (807)

$1.3313 (681)

$1.3276 (1002)

Price at time of writing this review: $1.3203

Support levels (open interest**, contracts):

$1.3160 (1802)

$1.3129 (1820)

$1.3089 (2282)


Comments:

- Overall open interest on the CALL options with the expiration date July, 9 is 25238 contracts, with the maximum number of contracts with strike price $1,3650 (2456);

- Overall open interest on the PUT options with the expiration date July, 9 is 33225 contracts, with the maximum number of contracts with strike price $1,3250 (2609);

- The ratio of PUT/CALL was 1.32 versus 1.31 from the previous trading day according to data from July, 3.

* - The Chicago Mercantile Exchange bulletin (CME) is used for the calculation.

** - Open interest takes into account the total number of option contracts that are open at the moment.

01:45
China: Markit/Caixin Services PMI, June 53.9 (forecast 52.7)
01:30
Australia: Trade Balance , May 0.827 (forecast 1.2)
01:30
Australia: Retail Sales, M/M, May 0.4% (forecast 0.3%)
00:26
Commodities. Daily history for July 03’2018:


Raw materials

Closing price

% change

Oil

74.28

+0.46%

Gold

1,254.00

+0.99%

00:25
Stocks. Daily history for July 03’2018:


Index

Change items

Closing price

% change

Nikkei

-26.39

21785.54

-0.12%

TOPIX

-2.49

1692.80

-0.15%

Hang Seng

-409.54

28545.57

-1.41%

CSI 300

+1.32

+1.32

+0.04%

Euro Stoxx 50

+34.13

3406.34

+1.01%

FTSE 100

+45.44

7593.29

+0.60%

DAX

+110.97

12349.14

+0.91%

CAC 40

+40.01

5316.77

+0.76%

DJIA

-132.36

24174.82

-0.54

S&P 500

-13.49

2713.22

-0.49

NASDAQ

-65.01

7502.67

-0.86

S&P/TSX

-14.57

16263.16

-0.09

00:23
Currencies. Daily history for July 03’2018:


Pare

Closed

% change

EUR/USD

$1,1657

+0,19%

GBP/USD

$1,3191

+0,39%

USD/CHF

Chf0,99211

-0,13%

USD/JPY

Y110,57

-0,26%

EUR/JPY

Y128,91

-0,05%

GBP/JPY

Y145,85

+0,14%

AUD/USD

$0,7382

+0,62%

NZD/USD

$0,6755

+0,63%

USD/CAD

C$1,31434

-0,33%

00:01
Schedule for today,Wednesday, July 04’2018 (GMT+3)


Time

A country


Index


Period

Previous value

Forecast

02:30

Australia

AIG Services Index

June

59.0


04:30

Australia

Retail Sales, M/M

May

0.4%

0.3%

04:30

Australia

Trade Balance

May

0.977

1.2

04:45

China

Markit/Caixin Services PMI

June

52.9

52.7

10:50

France

Services PMI

June

54.3

56.4

10:55

Germany

Services PMI

June

52.1

53.9

11:00

Eurozone

Services PMI

June

53.8

55

11:30

United Kingdom

Purchasing Manager Index Services

June

54.0

54

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