All forecasts and opinions on 22 January 2020

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22.01.2020
Brent oil prices continue to slide from strong resistance level of $66 per barrel to this year lows of $64. International energy agency (IEA) released a forecast for 1H2020 with a surplus of 1 mln barrels per day that keeps the prices at their lows. A new negative factor for the oil market is the outbreak of a new strain of coronavirus (2019-nCoV) in China. Although the massive worldwide outbreak of the virus is unlikely Goldman Sachs estimates the virus could wipe out 260,000 bpd demand from the oil market in 2020.
22.01.2020
USD/CAD consolidated in a narrow 50-point range for the second week, after more expansive movements of December. Canadian dollar was strengthened well in the last days of the year in a remarkable correlation with rising oil prices. Before the escalation of Iran-USA conflict in the first days of 2020, when oil prices gapped for the most expensive January levels, the Loonie was trading near 1.2950 against US dollar. But, as soon as oil futures came to more appropriate price area US dollar immediately climbed higher, lifting USD/CAD to 1.31.
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