Canadian dollar lost ground after pretty dovish comments made by the Bank of Canada in its interest rate announcement and monetary policy report on Wednesday. USD/CAD was trading near 1.3050 before the BoC news were released and climbed to 1.3160 as a market reaction still evolve.
Brent oil prices continue to slide from strong resistance level of $66 per barrel to this year lows of $64. International energy agency (IEA) released a forecast for 1H2020 with a surplus of 1 mln barrels per day that keeps the prices at their lows.
USD/CAD consolidated in a narrow 50-point range for the second week, after more expansive movements of December.
Canadian dollar was strengthened well in the last days of the year in a remarkable correlation with rising oil prices. Before the escalation of Iran-USA conflict in the first days of 2020, when oil prices gapped for the most expensive January levels, the Loonie was trading near 1.2950 against US dollar. But, as soon as oil futures came to more appropriate price area US dollar immediately climbed higher, lifting USD/CAD to 1.31.
European Central Bank's president Christine Lagarde expected to announce the framework of the Bank's revamped monetary policy on Jan. 24.
Inspiring Q42019 earnings report due to be released Jan. 23 could enable Starbucks shares (SBUX) to update its highs of July 2019 if Starbucks will follow the scenario of many rising shares of different companies on the US stock market that performed well in 2019.
The Starbucks shares today is still $6 below its highs recorded last summer when it reached $99.72 per share. Taking into account than it gained already 78% over the last 18 months and made a correction to $81 in Nov. 2019 any inspiring earnings report could push the price above the record highs near $100.
The S&P500, Nasdaq as well as French CAC40 closed last Friday at new records, and this week investors are focused on fresh earning reports of those limited number of companies which could still look fundamentally strong and technically more or less in uptrend, but still trading below their previous records.
World trade organization (WTO) lost its role after its enforcement arm, the Appellate body, forfeited its function to render any judgments. United States has blocked the appointment of new judges to replace those whose terms have expired yesterday. As of today, the only one acting judge remain in the Body while at least three needed to enforce trade ruling.
An increasing number of banks see euro surging in 1Q2020 to almost $1.16. Strategists bet on Brexit resolution by the end of January 2020 as a major driver for European currency along with stabilizing economy.
ABN Amro Bank NV and Commerzbank AG are seeing euro at $1.14 by March 2020, Morgan Stanley bulls euro to $1.16 in 1Q2020. The currency is seen rising to $1.12 by March before a steady ascent to $1.16 by the end of 2020, up from around $1.1065 now, according to Bloomberg survey.
Stable growth momentum anticipated in Euro area as a whole, and France and Italy in particular in the next six to nine months, according to the Organization of Economic Cooperation and Development calculations. Composite leading indicators, reviewed by OECD, continue to point to stable growth momentum in Japan and Canada. Signs of stabilizing growth are also emerging in the United States, Germany and the United Kingdom.
Stronger than expected nonfarm payrolls pushed US dollar against all currencies. Unexpected 266,000 change of employed vs 186,000 expected and 160,000 anticipated in November made US dollar surge to 1.1070 vs Euro (EUR) and 108.900 to Japanese yen (JPY). Gold dumped by 0.6% to $1467 an ounce just after labor market data were released.
Average hourly earnings were also above expectation at 3.1% year-on-year in November.
US Bureau of Labor Statistics also revised October nonfarm payrolls up to 156,000 from 128,000.
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